Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs MFK Chrudim

Team pages: FK Neratovice-Byskovice · MFK Chrudim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

FK Neratovice-Byskovice1.71

MFK Chrudim1.22

1X2

48% 25% 27%

FK Neratovice-Byskovice Draw MFK Chrudim

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Neratovice-Byskovice 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDLWWD

MFK Chrudim 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDLLDWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1487 · MFK Chrudim 1491

	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	Draw	MFK Chrudim
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	MFK Chrudim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.9	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +11’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	MFK Chrudim
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-0 D	3-3 D
Pardubice B	3-0 W	0-1 L
FK Teplice B	2-0 W	1-4 L
Zenit Caslav	0-2 L	2-2 D
SK Sokol Brozany	2-2 D	1-1 D
Banik Most-Sous	0-4 L	1-2 L
Hradec Kralove B	0-0 D	0-0 D
Varnsdorf	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Chrudim (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Neratovice-Byskovice

DWLDLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
04/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	1	6	W
26/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	9	1	L
20/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
29/08	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
22/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

MFK Chrudim

WDLDDLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
10/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
04/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-3	2	4	D
26/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
20/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-4	5	4	L
12/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
06/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
29/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs MFK Chrudim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Neratovice-Byskovice win (48%). Probabilities: FK Neratovice-Byskovice 48%, draw 25%, MFK Chrudim 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs MFK Chrudim?

The model expects 2.93 goals (FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1.71 · MFK Chrudim 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs MFK Chrudim?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.