Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 20/09, 11:00

Prediction: Mladá Boleslav B vs Slovan Liberec B

Team pages: Mladá Boleslav B · Slovan Liberec B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Mladá Boleslav B2.51

Slovan Liberec B1.33

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Mladá Boleslav B Draw Slovan Liberec B

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Mladá Boleslav B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWLWLD

Slovan Liberec B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Mladá Boleslav B 3–1–2 Slovan Liberec B (6 last)

Slovan Liberec B1-3Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B2-1Slovan Liberec B
Mladá Boleslav B2-2Slovan Liberec B
Mladá Boleslav B2-1Slovan Liberec B
Slovan Liberec B3-1Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B0-2Slovan Liberec B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mladá Boleslav B 1533 · Slovan Liberec B 1467

	Mladá Boleslav B	Draw	Slovan Liberec B
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mladá Boleslav B (rating 1533 vs 1467).
H2H favours Mladá Boleslav B: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mladá Boleslav B	Slovan Liberec B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.5	1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.55 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.75
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:44 +6’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +155’	1.55	4.75	3.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mladá Boleslav B 3–1–2 Slovan Liberec B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovan Liberec B	1-3 HT 0-2	Mladá Boleslav B
16/01/26 Czechia Tipsport Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	2-1 HT 0-0	Slovan Liberec B
04/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	2-2 HT 2-0	Slovan Liberec B
04/06/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	2-1 HT 1-0	Slovan Liberec B
10/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Slovan Liberec B	3-1 HT 2-0	Mladá Boleslav B
28/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	0-2 HT 0-1	Slovan Liberec B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	8	7	1	0	17	1	22
2	FC Brno II	8	6	1	1	22	14	19
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
5	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
6	Slovacko II	9	4	3	2	16	10	15
7	SK Unicov	8	4	2	2	13	10	14
8	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
9	MFK Vitkovice	8	3	3	2	8	7	12
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	8	3	2	3	11	11	11
12	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
13	MFK Karvina B	8	3	1	4	10	13	10
14	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
15	FK Hodonin	8	1	2	5	7	12	5
16	FK Blansko	8	0	4	4	9	21	4
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mladá Boleslav B	Slovan Liberec B
FK Jablonec B	2-2 D	0-2 L
SK Sokol Zapy	2-3 L	1-2 L
Velke Hamry	3-0 W	2-1 W
Usti N Orlici	3-0 W	0-1 L
FK Teplice B	0-2 L	0-4 L
Varnsdorf	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mladá Boleslav B (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mladá Boleslav B

DLLWWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
05/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
29/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
22/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	5	1	W
08/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	5-1	6-1	3	8	W
06/06	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
30/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	10	5	L
24/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/05	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	7	D

Slovan Liberec B

WWLWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	2	3	L
11/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
06/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
29/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
08/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
06/06	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
31/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	4	6	W
23/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
17/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	5	5	W
10/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mladá Boleslav B vs Slovan Liberec B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mladá Boleslav B win (62%). Probabilities: Mladá Boleslav B 62%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec B 18%.

How many goals are expected in Mladá Boleslav B vs Slovan Liberec B?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Mladá Boleslav B 2.51 · Slovan Liberec B 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mladá Boleslav B vs Slovan Liberec B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.