Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: Velke Hamry vs Benatky Nad Jizerou

Team pages: Velke Hamry · Benatky Nad Jizerou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Velke Hamry1.08

Benatky Nad Jizerou1.93

1X2

20% 23% 57%

Velke Hamry Draw Benatky Nad Jizerou

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Hamry 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWLWL

Benatky Nad Jizerou 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWDWDD

Head-to-head

Velke Hamry 2–1–3 Benatky Nad Jizerou (6 last)

Velke Hamry0-2Benatky Nad Jizerou
Benatky Nad Jizerou0-1Velke Hamry
Velke Hamry0-3Benatky Nad Jizerou
Benatky Nad Jizerou2-3Velke Hamry
Velke Hamry0-1Benatky Nad Jizerou
Velke Hamry2-2Benatky Nad Jizerou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Hamry 1418 · Benatky Nad Jizerou 1576

	Velke Hamry	Draw	Benatky Nad Jizerou
Our model	20%	24%	56%
Market	21%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benatky Nad Jizerou (rating 1418 vs 1576).
H2H favours Benatky Nad Jizerou: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Hamry	Benatky Nad Jizerou
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.7	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	3.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:06 +3’	4.33	4.00	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Hamry 2–1–3 Benatky Nad Jizerou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Hamry	0-2 HT 0-0	Benatky Nad Jizerou
10/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-1 HT 0-0	Velke Hamry
21/08/24 Czechia Cup	Velke Hamry	0-3	Benatky Nad Jizerou
07/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Benatky Nad Jizerou	2-3 HT 0-1	Velke Hamry
09/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Hamry	0-1 HT 0-1	Benatky Nad Jizerou
25/09/21 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Hamry	2-2 HT 0-2	Benatky Nad Jizerou

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Hamry	Benatky Nad Jizerou
Pardubice B	0-6 L	3-2 W
FK Teplice B	2-0 W	1-0 W
Zenit Caslav	1-2 L	2-0 W
SK Sokol Brozany	4-2 W	0-0 D
Banik Most-Sous	0-3 L	1-1 D
Hradec Kralove B	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Benatky Nad Jizerou (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velke Hamry

LLLLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-6	6	3	L
10/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
04/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
12/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
29/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
23/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Benatky Nad Jizerou

DDWWWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
14/10	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
10/10	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	8	8	W
04/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-3	6	4	D
26/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	8	0	W
20/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
12/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
06/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	14	4	D
16/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Hamry vs Benatky Nad Jizerou?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Benatky Nad Jizerou win (57%). Probabilities: Velke Hamry 20%, draw 23%, Benatky Nad Jizerou 57%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Hamry vs Benatky Nad Jizerou?

The model expects 3 goals (Velke Hamry 1.08 · Benatky Nad Jizerou 1.93), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Hamry vs Benatky Nad Jizerou?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.