Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Banik Most-Sous vs FK Jablonec B

Team pages: Banik Most-Sous · FK Jablonec B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Banik Most-Sous1.72

FK Jablonec B1.05

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Banik Most-Sous Draw FK Jablonec B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Banik Most-Sous 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWWL

FK Jablonec B 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDWDWDWL

Head-to-head

Banik Most-Sous 6–0 FK Jablonec B (6 last)

FK Jablonec B0-3Banik Most-Sous
Banik Most-Sous1-0FK Jablonec B
Banik Most-Sous2-1FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-3Banik Most-Sous
FK Jablonec B1-3Banik Most-Sous
Banik Most-Sous1-0FK Jablonec B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banik Most-Sous 1566 · FK Jablonec B 1510

	Banik Most-Sous	Draw	FK Jablonec B
Our model	52%	26%	22%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banik Most-Sous (rating 1566 vs 1510).
H2H favours Banik Most-Sous: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banik Most-Sous	FK Jablonec B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.6	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.8	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:53 +25’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Banik Most-Sous 6–0–0 FK Jablonec B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	0-3 HT 0-1	Banik Most-Sous
04/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Jablonec B
08/03/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	2-1 HT 2-1	FK Jablonec B
11/08/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-3 HT 0-1	Banik Most-Sous
23/03/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-3 HT 0-2	Banik Most-Sous
26/08/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Jablonec B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	SK Unicov	10	6	2	2	19	13	20
4	Frydek Mistek	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
5	Sigma Olomouc B	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	SK Hranice	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	10	4	3	3	25	18	15
9	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	SFK Vrchovina	10	4	2	4	11	16	14
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
13	FK Hodonin	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
14	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
15	FK Blansko	10	1	4	5	15	27	7
16	FC Vsetin	10	2	1	7	10	24	7
17	Polanka	10	1	3	6	6	14	6
18	MFK Havirov	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banik Most-Sous	FK Jablonec B
SK Sokol Zapy	1-3 L	1-1 D
Velke Hamry	3-0 W	6-0 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	4-0 W	1-1 D
FK Horni Redice	0-1 L	2-0 W
Pardubice B	0-1 L	2-3 L
Hradec Kralove B	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec B (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banik Most-Sous

WWWWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	9	L
19/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
12/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
05/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
29/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
16/08	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
07/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-0	1	3	W
06/06	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
31/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
23/05	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	7	W

FK Jablonec B

DLWDWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
20/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
13/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
31/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banik Most-Sous vs FK Jablonec B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Banik Most-Sous win (53%). Probabilities: Banik Most-Sous 53%, draw 24%, FK Jablonec B 23%.

How many goals are expected in Banik Most-Sous vs FK Jablonec B?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Banik Most-Sous 1.72 · FK Jablonec B 1.05), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Banik Most-Sous vs FK Jablonec B?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.