Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 25/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Jablonec B vs FK Teplice B

Team pages: FK Jablonec B · FK Teplice B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

FK Jablonec B1.85

FK Teplice B1.32

1X2

49% 24% 27%

FK Jablonec B Draw FK Teplice B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jablonec B 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWLWWW

FK Teplice B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Jablonec B 3–2–1 FK Teplice B (6 last)

FK Teplice B1-1FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-0FK Teplice B
FK Jablonec B2-1FK Teplice B
FK Teplice B1-1FK Jablonec B
FK Teplice B4-2FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-0FK Teplice B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Jablonec B 1573 · FK Teplice B 1467

	FK Jablonec B	Draw	FK Teplice B
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jablonec B (rating 1573 vs 1467).
H2H favours FK Jablonec B: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jablonec B	FK Teplice B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.6	1.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:16 +9’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec B 3–2–1 FK Teplice B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Jablonec B
25/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Teplice B
01/06/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Teplice B
03/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Jablonec B
17/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Teplice B	4-2 HT 1-1	FK Jablonec B
21/10/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Teplice B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jablonec B	FK Teplice B
Zenit Caslav	3-2 W	1-0 W
SK Sokol Brozany	3-1 W	5-2 W
Slovan Liberec B	2-0 W	4-0 W
SK Sokol Zapy	1-1 D	1-2 L
Velke Hamry	6-0 W	0-2 L
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec B (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jablonec B

DWDWDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	9	6	W
11/10	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	5	W
03/10	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-1	4	5	W
27/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
20/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
13/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

FK Teplice B

WWWDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
10/10	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
04/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
26/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	3	5	L
20/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	4	4	W
12/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
06/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
29/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
23/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec B vs FK Teplice B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec B win (49%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec B 49%, draw 24%, FK Teplice B 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec B vs FK Teplice B?

The model expects 3.17 goals (FK Jablonec B 1.85 · FK Teplice B 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jablonec B vs FK Teplice B?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.