Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Kraluv Dvur vs Ceske Budejovice

Team pages: Kraluv Dvur · Ceske Budejovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.04Total

Kraluv Dvur2.1

Ceske Budejovice1.94

1X2

42% 23% 35%

Kraluv Dvur Draw Ceske Budejovice

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kraluv Dvur 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Ceske Budejovice 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kraluv Dvur 1590 · Ceske Budejovice 1562

	Kraluv Dvur	Draw	Ceske Budejovice
Our model	42%	22%	36%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kraluv Dvur	Ceske Budejovice
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.5	3.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.1	3.1 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.25 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +2’	2.50	3.75	2.25
05:02 +8’	2.20▼	3.75	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kraluv Dvur	Ceske Budejovice
FK Loko Praha	3-2 W	2-1 W
Povltavska FA	2-1 W	3-1 W
Benesov	4-2 W	3-0 W
Jiskra Domazlice	1-2 L	3-6 L
Aritma Praha	2-0 W	7-0 W
FC Pisek	3-1 W	2-3 L
Dukla Praha B	3-1 W	2-2 D
Viktoria Plzen B	2-2 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ceske Budejovice (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kraluv Dvur

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-3	4	3	W
10/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-1	7	7	W
26/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
19/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	3	W
12/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	9	1	W
05/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
29/08	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
22/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Ceske Budejovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	12	4	W
03/10	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	8	4	W
26/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-6	11	2	L
19/09	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
11/09	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	7	L
04/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
30/08	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	1	8	W
23/08	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/08	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kraluv Dvur vs Ceske Budejovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kraluv Dvur win (42%). Probabilities: Kraluv Dvur 42%, draw 23%, Ceske Budejovice 35%.

How many goals are expected in Kraluv Dvur vs Ceske Budejovice?

The model expects 4.04 goals (Kraluv Dvur 2.1 · Ceske Budejovice 1.94), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kraluv Dvur vs Ceske Budejovice?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.