Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 26/09, 10:15

Prediction: FK Loko Praha vs Kraluv Dvur

Team pages: FK Loko Praha · Kraluv Dvur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

FK Loko Praha1.72

Kraluv Dvur1.9

1X2

35% 24% 42%

FK Loko Praha Draw Kraluv Dvur

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Loko Praha 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWDDWDWL

Kraluv Dvur 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWWLWW

Head-to-head

FK Loko Praha 1–3–2 Kraluv Dvur (6 last)

Kraluv Dvur4-1FK Loko Praha
Kraluv Dvur5-0FK Loko Praha
FK Loko Praha1-1Kraluv Dvur
Kraluv Dvur1-1FK Loko Praha
FK Loko Praha0-0Kraluv Dvur
Kraluv Dvur0-3FK Loko Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Loko Praha 1508 · Kraluv Dvur 1574

	FK Loko Praha	Draw	Kraluv Dvur
Our model	35%	24%	42%
Market	35%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kraluv Dvur (rating 1508 vs 1574).
H2H favours Kraluv Dvur: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Loko Praha	Kraluv Dvur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.3	3.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.80

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.50 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:01 +14’	2.60	3.80	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:53 +44’	2.34	3.61	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Loko Praha 1–3–2 Kraluv Dvur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/26 Czechia Cup	Kraluv Dvur	4-1 HT 1-0	FK Loko Praha
06/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Kraluv Dvur	5-0 HT 2-0	FK Loko Praha
22/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Loko Praha	1-1 HT 1-1	Kraluv Dvur
21/08/24 Czechia Cup	Kraluv Dvur	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Loko Praha
06/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Loko Praha	0-0 HT 0-0	Kraluv Dvur
09/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Kraluv Dvur	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Loko Praha

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	9	7	2	0	17	1	23
2	FC Brno II	9	6	1	2	22	15	19
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
7	Slovacko II	9	4	3	2	16	10	15
8	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
9	MFK Vitkovice	9	3	4	2	8	7	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
13	MFK Karvina B	9	3	1	5	13	18	10
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Loko Praha	Kraluv Dvur
Povltavska FA	4-2 W	2-1 W
Benesov	2-2 D	4-2 W
Jiskra Domazlice	2-0 W	1-2 L
Aritma Praha	2-2 D	2-0 W
FC Pisek	2-2 D	3-1 W
Dukla Praha B	1-0 W	3-1 W
Viktoria Plzen B	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kraluv Dvur (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Loko Praha

LDLWDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	0	2	L
12/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	7	1	W
05/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	5	D
29/08	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	3	3	D
08/08	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
05/06	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	0	1	L
30/05	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
23/05	SK Kladno Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	0	8	L

Kraluv Dvur

LWWDWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	3	W
12/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	9	1	W
05/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
29/08	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
22/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
08/08	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
06/06	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
29/05	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
20/05	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	11	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Loko Praha vs Kraluv Dvur?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kraluv Dvur win (42%). Probabilities: FK Loko Praha 35%, draw 24%, Kraluv Dvur 42%.

How many goals are expected in FK Loko Praha vs Kraluv Dvur?

The model expects 3.62 goals (FK Loko Praha 1.72 · Kraluv Dvur 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Loko Praha vs Kraluv Dvur?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.