Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 10:15

Prediction: Povltavska FA vs FK Pribram B

Team pages: Povltavska FA · FK Pribram B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Povltavska FA1.55

FK Pribram B1.84

1X2

32% 23% 44%

Povltavska FA Draw FK Pribram B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Povltavska FA 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLLLL

FK Pribram B 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLDDDD

Head-to-head

Povltavska FA 2–2 FK Pribram B (4 last)

Povltavska FA3-2FK Pribram B
FK Pribram B4-2Povltavska FA
FK Pribram B1-4Povltavska FA
FK Pribram B4-0Povltavska FA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Povltavska FA 1399 · FK Pribram B 1483

	Povltavska FA	Draw	FK Pribram B
Our model	32%	24%	44%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Pribram B (rating 1399 vs 1483).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Povltavska FA	FK Pribram B
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.6	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +3’	2.75	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Povltavska FA 2–0–2 FK Pribram B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Povltavska FA	3-2 HT 2-1	FK Pribram B
01/08/21 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Pribram B	4-2 HT 3-1	Povltavska FA
20/09/20 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Pribram B	1-4 HT 0-1	Povltavska FA
06/09/19 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Pribram B	4-0 HT 2-0	Povltavska FA

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Povltavska FA	FK Pribram B
FK Admira Praha	2-3 L	3-1 W
Ceske Budejovice	1-3 L	0-2 L
Slavia Prague U20	0-4 L	0-2 L
Sparta Prague B	0-0 D	0-4 L
Jiskra Domazlice	3-5 L	2-2 D
Aritma Praha	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Pribram B (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Povltavska FA

DLLDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	5	5	L
10/10	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	3	4	L
04/10	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	7	L
26/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
19/09	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	1	1	L
06/09	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
02/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-5	4	5	L
29/08	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
15/08	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

FK Pribram B

LLWLWLDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
03/10	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
25/09	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
13/09	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
05/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	7-2	–	–	W
30/08	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
23/08	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Povltavska FA vs FK Pribram B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Pribram B win (44%). Probabilities: Povltavska FA 32%, draw 23%, FK Pribram B 44%.

How many goals are expected in Povltavska FA vs FK Pribram B?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Povltavska FA 1.55 · FK Pribram B 1.84), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Povltavska FA vs FK Pribram B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.