Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 26/09, 10:15

Prediction: Aritma Praha vs FK Admira Praha

Team pages: Aritma Praha · FK Admira Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Aritma Praha1.34

FK Admira Praha1.76

1X2

29% 25% 47%

Aritma Praha Draw FK Admira Praha

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Aritma Praha 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDDDLLLL

FK Admira Praha 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Aritma Praha 1–3 FK Admira Praha (4 last)

Aritma Praha2-1FK Admira Praha
FK Admira Praha2-1Aritma Praha
FK Admira Praha1-0Aritma Praha
Aritma Praha1-2FK Admira Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aritma Praha 1440 · FK Admira Praha 1480

	Aritma Praha	Draw	FK Admira Praha
Our model	28%	25%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Admira Praha (rating 1440 vs 1480).
H2H favours FK Admira Praha: 3-0-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aritma Praha	FK Admira Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.5	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.1	3.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.70

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.23
X	3.90 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	1.83 → 1.91▲	Pinn 2.01 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:31 +5’	3.20	3.90	1.83
13:53 +2’	3.20	3.90	1.85▲
15:06 +5’	3.10▼	3.70▼	1.91▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:20 +35’	3.23	3.37	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aritma Praha 1–0–3 FK Admira Praha

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Aritma Praha	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Admira Praha
22/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Admira Praha	2-1 HT 1-1	Aritma Praha
14/08/19 Czechia Cup	FK Admira Praha	1-0 HT 1-0	Aritma Praha
26/07/14 Czechia Cup	Aritma Praha	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Admira Praha

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	9	7	2	0	17	1	23
2	FC Brno II	9	6	1	2	22	15	19
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
7	Slovacko II	9	4	3	2	16	10	15
8	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
9	MFK Vitkovice	9	3	4	2	8	7	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
13	MFK Karvina B	9	3	1	5	13	18	10
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aritma Praha	FK Admira Praha
Ceske Budejovice	0-7 L	0-5 L
Kraluv Dvur	0-2 L	2-5 L
FK Pribram B	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aritma Praha (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aritma Praha

LWDDDDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-7	1	1	L
12/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	10	4	L
05/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	10	5	L
29/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
22/08	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
30/05	Ceske Budejovice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	11	3	W
20/05	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	2-3	–	–	L

FK Admira Praha

WWLLWLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
06/09	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
30/08	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
23/08	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
16/08	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
09/08	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-5	5	4	L
06/06	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
31/05	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-2	5	1	W
24/05	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aritma Praha vs FK Admira Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Admira Praha win (47%). Probabilities: Aritma Praha 29%, draw 25%, FK Admira Praha 47%.

How many goals are expected in Aritma Praha vs FK Admira Praha?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Aritma Praha 1.34 · FK Admira Praha 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Aritma Praha vs FK Admira Praha?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.