Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 10:15

Prediction: Aritma Praha vs Dukla Praha B

Team pages: Aritma Praha · Dukla Praha B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Aritma Praha1.37

Dukla Praha B1.69

1X2

31% 25% 45%

Aritma Praha Draw Dukla Praha B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Aritma Praha 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLWDDL

Dukla Praha B 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLDDDLLW

Head-to-head

Aritma Praha 2–0 Dukla Praha B (2 last)

Aritma Praha2-1Dukla Praha B
Dukla Praha B0-1Aritma Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aritma Praha 1452 · Dukla Praha B 1471

	Aritma Praha	Draw	Dukla Praha B
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Aritma Praha: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aritma Praha	Dukla Praha B
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.7	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.9	3.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.80

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:06 +3’	2.88	3.80	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aritma Praha 2–0–0 Dukla Praha B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Aritma Praha	2-1 HT 0-1	Dukla Praha B
21/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Dukla Praha B	0-1 HT 0-0	Aritma Praha

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aritma Praha	Dukla Praha B
Viktoria Plzen B	0-3 L	0-3 L
Bohemians 1905 B	3-3 D	2-2 D
FK Pribram B	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Admira Praha	3-2 W	1-1 D
Ceske Budejovice	0-7 L	2-2 D
Slavia Prague U20	1-3 L	2-1 W
Motorlet Praha	0-4 L	1-2 L
Kraluv Dvur	0-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha B (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aritma Praha

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
10/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	5	8	D
03/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
26/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	8	3	W
19/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-7	1	1	L
12/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	10	4	L
05/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	10	5	L
29/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
22/08	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Dukla Praha B

LWDLDDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
11/10	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
04/10	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
27/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
19/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
09/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
04/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
30/08	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	9	3	W
16/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aritma Praha vs Dukla Praha B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dukla Praha B win (45%). Probabilities: Aritma Praha 31%, draw 25%, Dukla Praha B 45%.

How many goals are expected in Aritma Praha vs Dukla Praha B?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Aritma Praha 1.37 · Dukla Praha B 1.69), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Aritma Praha vs Dukla Praha B?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.