Football · Austria Cup · 25/07, 18:30
Prediction: Kremser SC vs Austria Lustenau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Kremser SC0.38
Austria Lustenau2.38
1X2
Kremser SC
Draw
Austria Lustenau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Kremser SC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Austria Lustenau
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kremser SC 1485 · Austria Lustenau 1539
| Kremser SC | Draw | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 4% | 15% | 82% |
| Market | 5% | 9% | 85% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austria Lustenau (rating 1485 vs 1539).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kremser SC | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 44/44/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kremser SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | SKU Amstetten Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | First Vienna FC 1894 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Austria Lustenau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nurnberg II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | SW Bregenz Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/07 | Aarau Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | St Gallen Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Young Boys Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Wil 1900 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kremser SC vs Austria Lustenau?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Austria Lustenau win (84%). Probabilities: Kremser SC 5%, draw 12%, Austria Lustenau 84%.
How many goals are expected in Kremser SC vs Austria Lustenau?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Kremser SC 0.38 · Austria Lustenau 2.38), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kremser SC vs Austria Lustenau?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.