Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Dolny Kubin vs SK Novohrad Lucenec

Team pages: Dolny Kubin · SK Novohrad Lucenec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Dolny Kubin1.37

SK Novohrad Lucenec1.59

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Dolny Kubin Draw SK Novohrad Lucenec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dolny Kubin 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLDDD

SK Novohrad Lucenec 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Dolny Kubin 2–4 SK Novohrad Lucenec (6 last)

Dolny Kubin0-1SK Novohrad Lucenec
SK Novohrad Lucenec1-3Dolny Kubin
SK Novohrad Lucenec0-1Dolny Kubin
Dolny Kubin1-4SK Novohrad Lucenec
SK Novohrad Lucenec3-2Dolny Kubin
Dolny Kubin1-2SK Novohrad Lucenec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dolny Kubin 1416 · SK Novohrad Lucenec 1495

	Dolny Kubin	Draw	SK Novohrad Lucenec
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Novohrad Lucenec (rating 1416 vs 1495).
H2H favours SK Novohrad Lucenec: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dolny Kubin	SK Novohrad Lucenec
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.7	1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.70

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:04 +10’	2.70	3.70	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dolny Kubin 2–0–4 SK Novohrad Lucenec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dolny Kubin	0-1 HT 0-0	SK Novohrad Lucenec
18/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	SK Novohrad Lucenec	1-3 HT 0-2	Dolny Kubin
24/05/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	SK Novohrad Lucenec	0-1 HT 0-0	Dolny Kubin
02/11/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dolny Kubin	1-4 HT 1-2	SK Novohrad Lucenec
26/03/22 Slovakia 3. Liga	SK Novohrad Lucenec	3-2 HT 2-1	Dolny Kubin
31/07/21 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dolny Kubin	1-2 HT 0-1	SK Novohrad Lucenec

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	12	9	2	1	43	17	29
2	Namestovo	12	9	1	2	31	13	28
3	FK Cadca	12	8	1	3	34	15	25
4	Fomat Martin	12	8	0	4	31	23	24
5	FTC Filakovo	12	6	3	3	20	15	21
6	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	12	5	2	5	15	18	17
7	FK Podkonice	12	4	4	4	26	23	16
8	Banik Kalinovo	12	5	1	6	14	24	16
9	Rimavska Sobota	12	5	0	7	19	23	15
10	SK Novohrad Lucenec	12	4	1	7	20	21	13
11	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	12	3	3	6	11	21	12
12	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	12	2	2	8	16	32	8
13	Tj Medzibrod	12	2	2	8	11	32	8
14	Dolny Kubin	12	1	4	7	10	24	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dolny Kubin	SK Novohrad Lucenec
Dukla Banska Bystrica B	1-1 D	0-2 L
FK Podkonice	1-1 D	1-1 D
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	2-2 D	2-3 L
FK Cadca	1-2 L	3-1 W
Tj Medzibrod	1-1 D	3-0 W
Namestovo	0-3 L	2-3 L
MFK Ruzomberok II	0-6 L	2-3 L
Fomat Martin	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: SK Novohrad Lucenec (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dolny Kubin

LLLDLLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
17/10	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
27/09	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
13/09	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
23/08	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-2	2-3	–	–	L

SK Novohrad Lucenec

WLDLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
17/10	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
10/10	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	1-3	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
05/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dolny Kubin vs SK Novohrad Lucenec?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Novohrad Lucenec win (42%). Probabilities: Dolny Kubin 33%, draw 25%, SK Novohrad Lucenec 42%.

How many goals are expected in Dolny Kubin vs SK Novohrad Lucenec?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Dolny Kubin 1.37 · SK Novohrad Lucenec 1.59), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dolny Kubin vs SK Novohrad Lucenec?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.