Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 20/09, 10:30

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok II vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok II · TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

MFK Ruzomberok II2.15

TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele1.1

1X2

61% 22% 18%

MFK Ruzomberok II Draw TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWDW

TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWDWLW

Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok II 1–2–0 TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele (3 last)

TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele1-1MFK Ruzomberok II
MFK Ruzomberok II2-2TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele
MFK Ruzomberok II2-1TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok II 1548 · TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele 1499

	MFK Ruzomberok II	Draw	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Ruzomberok II (rating 1548 vs 1499).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok II	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 7.7	– / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:45 +2’	1.48	4.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok II 1–2–0 TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	1-1 HT 0-1	MFK Ruzomberok II
21/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Ruzomberok II	2-2 HT 1-0	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele
28/02/20 Club Friendly List	MFK Ruzomberok II	2-1 HT 1-0	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	6	5	1	0	19	6	16
2	Namestovo	6	5	0	1	18	7	15
3	FK Podkonice	6	4	1	1	15	7	13
4	FTC Filakovo	6	3	2	1	11	7	11
5	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	Fomat Martin	6	3	0	3	16	14	9
7	FK Cadca	6	3	0	3	14	9	9
8	Rimavska Sobota	6	3	0	3	11	15	9
9	Banik Kalinovo	6	2	1	3	7	11	7
10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	6	1	2	3	4	12	5
10	Tj Medzibrod	6	1	2	3	4	12	5
12	SK Novohrad Lucenec	6	1	1	4	7	10	4
13	Dolny Kubin	6	1	1	4	5	15	4
14	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	6	1	0	5	10	18	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok II	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele
Rimavska Sobota	5-1 W	2-3 L
Dolny Kubin	6-0 W	2-2 D
FK Podkonice	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Ruzomberok II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Ruzomberok II

WLLLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	11	4	W
05/09	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
09/08	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
23/05	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
10/05	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

LWLDLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
23/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
09/05	MFK Bytca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok II vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Ruzomberok II win (61%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok II 61%, draw 22%, TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele 18%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok II vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele?

The model expects 3.25 goals (MFK Ruzomberok II 2.15 · TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele 1.1), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok II vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.