Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 27/09, 15:30

Prediction: Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince vs TJ Kovo Belusa

Team pages: Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince · TJ Kovo Belusa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince1.41

TJ Kovo Belusa1.95

1X2

27% 23% 50%

Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Draw TJ Kovo Belusa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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TJ Kovo Belusa 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince 0–1–5 TJ Kovo Belusa (6 last)

TJ Kovo Belusa3-0Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince0-1TJ Kovo Belusa
TJ Kovo Belusa5-1Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince2-2TJ Kovo Belusa
TJ Kovo Belusa2-1Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince1-2TJ Kovo Belusa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince 1455 · TJ Kovo Belusa 1603

	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	Draw	TJ Kovo Belusa
Our model	27%	24%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Kovo Belusa (rating 1455 vs 1603).
H2H favours TJ Kovo Belusa: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	TJ Kovo Belusa
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 3.1	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.9	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:43 +27’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince 0–1–5 TJ Kovo Belusa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	3-0 HT 2-0	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince
26/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	0-1 HT 0-1	TJ Kovo Belusa
06/04/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	5-1 HT 2-1	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince
15/09/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	2-2 HT 0-0	TJ Kovo Belusa
28/04/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	2-1 HT 0-0	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince
01/10/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	1-2 HT 1-1	TJ Kovo Belusa

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	7	6	1	0	22	5	19
2	TJ Kovo Belusa	7	4	2	1	17	9	14
3	Puchov	7	3	3	1	11	4	12
4	Spartak Myjava	8	3	3	2	12	11	12
5	FC Banik Prievidza	8	4	0	4	14	13	12
6	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	8	3	2	3	10	11	11
7	FK Nove Zamky	7	3	2	2	9	11	11
8	AS Trencin B	7	3	1	3	13	12	10
9	MSK Senec	7	3	0	4	8	11	9
10	OFK Dunajska Luzna	7	2	3	2	8	8	9
11	OK Castkovce	7	2	2	3	16	17	8
12	Raca Bratislava	7	2	2	3	11	13	8
13	KFC Komarno B	8	2	2	4	10	19	8
14	Dunajska Streda B	7	2	1	4	13	13	7
15	Slovan Duslo Šala	7	1	2	4	8	13	5
16	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	7	1	2	4	8	20	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	TJ Kovo Belusa
AS Trencin B	1-5 L	1-0 W
Spartak Myjava	1-1 D	0-0 D
Puchov	0-3 L	0-2 L
OFK Dunajska Luzna	0-2 L	2-2 D
KFC Komarno B	3-3 D	5-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Kovo Belusa (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-5	1-5	3	0	L
12/09	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
06/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
28/08	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
23/08	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
15/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
09/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-3	3-3	–	–	D
06/06	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-5	1-6	–	–	L
30/05	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
24/05	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

TJ Kovo Belusa

WWWWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
12/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
06/09	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	6	D
30/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	9	3	W
23/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	4	W
15/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
09/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	13	8	W
06/06	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
24/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince vs TJ Kovo Belusa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TJ Kovo Belusa win (50%). Probabilities: Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince 27%, draw 23%, TJ Kovo Belusa 50%.

How many goals are expected in Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince vs TJ Kovo Belusa?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince 1.41 · TJ Kovo Belusa 1.95), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince vs TJ Kovo Belusa?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.