Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 26/09, 15:30

Prediction: FK Nove Zamky vs AS Trencin B

Team pages: FK Nove Zamky · AS Trencin B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

FK Nove Zamky2.06

AS Trencin B1.43

1X2

51% 23% 26%

FK Nove Zamky Draw AS Trencin B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Nove Zamky 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDWWLL

AS Trencin B 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDLLLW

Head-to-head

FK Nove Zamky 1–1 AS Trencin B (2 last)

AS Trencin B2-3FK Nove Zamky
FK Nove Zamky0-2AS Trencin B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Nove Zamky 1541 · AS Trencin B 1480

	FK Nove Zamky	Draw	AS Trencin B
Our model	51%	23%	26%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Nove Zamky (rating 1541 vs 1480).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Nove Zamky	AS Trencin B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.8	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.80

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:56 +2’	1.75	3.90	3.40
19:40 +59’	1.75	3.80▼	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Nove Zamky 1–0–1 AS Trencin B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	AS Trencin B	2-3 HT 1-3	FK Nove Zamky
01/11/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Nove Zamky	0-2 HT 0-1	AS Trencin B

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	7	6	1	0	22	5	19
2	TJ Kovo Belusa	7	4	2	1	17	9	14
3	Puchov	7	3	3	1	11	4	12
4	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	7	3	2	2	10	9	11
5	FK Nove Zamky	7	3	2	2	9	11	11
6	AS Trencin B	7	3	1	3	13	12	10
7	MSK Senec	7	3	0	4	8	11	9
8	Spartak Myjava	7	2	3	2	10	11	9
9	FC Banik Prievidza	7	3	0	4	10	12	9
10	OFK Dunajska Luzna	7	2	3	2	8	8	9
11	OK Castkovce	7	2	2	3	16	17	8
12	Raca Bratislava	7	2	2	3	11	13	8
13	KFC Komarno B	7	2	2	3	9	15	8
14	Dunajska Streda B	7	2	1	4	13	13	7
15	Slovan Duslo Šala	7	1	2	4	8	13	5
16	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	7	1	2	4	8	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Nove Zamky	AS Trencin B
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	1-3 L	5-1 W
Spartak Myjava	2-1 W	0-2 L
Puchov	1-0 W	0-3 L
OFK Dunajska Luzna	1-1 D	0-1 L
KFC Komarno B	2-0 W	1-1 D
Raca Bratislava	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Nove Zamky (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Nove Zamky

WWWDWDWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
29/08	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	11	D
06/06	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
30/05	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	3-1	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

AS Trencin B

LLLWWDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	5-1	5-1	4	0	W
11/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	7	L
06/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	8	4	L
29/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
22/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
16/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
09/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	4-1	4-2	–	–	W
06/06	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	1-3	2-3	–	–	L
22/05	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	3-5	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Nove Zamky vs AS Trencin B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Nove Zamky win (51%). Probabilities: FK Nove Zamky 51%, draw 23%, AS Trencin B 26%.

How many goals are expected in FK Nove Zamky vs AS Trencin B?

The model expects 3.48 goals (FK Nove Zamky 2.06 · AS Trencin B 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Nove Zamky vs AS Trencin B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.