Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 27/09, 10:30

Prediction: Raca Bratislava vs Dunajska Streda B

Team pages: Raca Bratislava · Dunajska Streda B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Raca Bratislava1.71

Dunajska Streda B1.49

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Raca Bratislava Draw Dunajska Streda B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Raca Bratislava 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLLWDW

Dunajska Streda B 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWLLLD

Head-to-head

Raca Bratislava 1–1–0 Dunajska Streda B (2 last)

Dunajska Streda B0-5Raca Bratislava
Raca Bratislava1-1Dunajska Streda B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raca Bratislava 1540 · Dunajska Streda B 1477

	Raca Bratislava	Draw	Dunajska Streda B
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raca Bratislava (rating 1540 vs 1477).
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Raca Bratislava	Dunajska Streda B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	0.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.6	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +6’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Raca Bratislava 1–1–0 Dunajska Streda B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dunajska Streda B	0-5 HT 0-2	Raca Bratislava
19/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	1-1 HT 0-1	Dunajska Streda B

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	7	6	1	0	22	5	19
2	TJ Kovo Belusa	7	4	2	1	17	9	14
3	Puchov	7	3	3	1	11	4	12
4	Spartak Myjava	8	3	3	2	12	11	12
5	FC Banik Prievidza	8	4	0	4	14	13	12
6	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	8	3	2	3	10	11	11
7	FK Nove Zamky	7	3	2	2	9	11	11
8	AS Trencin B	7	3	1	3	13	12	10
9	MSK Senec	7	3	0	4	8	11	9
10	OFK Dunajska Luzna	7	2	3	2	8	8	9
11	OK Castkovce	7	2	2	3	16	17	8
12	Raca Bratislava	7	2	2	3	11	13	8
13	KFC Komarno B	8	2	2	4	10	19	8
14	Dunajska Streda B	7	2	1	4	13	13	7
15	Slovan Duslo Šala	7	1	2	4	8	13	5
16	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	7	1	2	4	8	20	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Raca Bratislava	Dunajska Streda B
FC Banik Prievidza	1-0 W	2-3 L
OK Castkovce	3-3 D	1-3 L
MSK Senec	1-0 W	2-0 W
SK 1923 Gabcikovo	1-2 L	5-2 W
TJ Kovo Belusa	2-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dunajska Streda B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raca Bratislava

DWDDLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	3	3	D
04/09	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	10	W
30/08	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
23/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
16/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
08/08	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	11	D
06/06	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	3	D
30/05	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
24/05	FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Dunajska Streda B

DWDLWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
12/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	1	6	L
21/08	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
09/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	3	8	L
06/06	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	FC Malacky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raca Bratislava vs Dunajska Streda B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Raca Bratislava win (42%). Probabilities: Raca Bratislava 42%, draw 25%, Dunajska Streda B 33%.

How many goals are expected in Raca Bratislava vs Dunajska Streda B?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Raca Bratislava 1.71 · Dunajska Streda B 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Raca Bratislava vs Dunajska Streda B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.