Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 04/10, 10:30

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dukla Banska Bystrica B

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok II · Dukla Banska Bystrica B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

MFK Ruzomberok II2.53

Dukla Banska Bystrica B1.12

1X2

67% 18% 14%

MFK Ruzomberok II Draw Dukla Banska Bystrica B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Dukla Banska Bystrica B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok II 0–1–1 Dukla Banska Bystrica B (2 last)

Dukla Banska Bystrica B1-1MFK Ruzomberok II
MFK Ruzomberok II1-2Dukla Banska Bystrica B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok II 1563 · Dukla Banska Bystrica B 1500

	MFK Ruzomberok II	Draw	Dukla Banska Bystrica B
Our model	67%	19%	14%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Ruzomberok II (rating 1563 vs 1500).
High corners: 15 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok II	Dukla Banska Bystrica B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 8.8	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.5	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
19:58 +14’	1.33	5.00	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok II 0–1–1 Dukla Banska Bystrica B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	1-1 HT 0-1	MFK Ruzomberok II
24/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Ruzomberok II	1-2 HT 1-0	Dukla Banska Bystrica B

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Namestovo	9	7	1	1	25	9	22
2	MFK Ruzomberok II	8	6	2	0	27	11	20
3	FTC Filakovo	9	5	3	1	14	8	18
4	Fomat Martin	9	6	0	3	23	18	18
5	FK Cadca	9	5	1	3	23	11	16
6	FK Podkonice	9	4	2	3	23	17	14
7	Rimavska Sobota	9	4	0	5	13	18	12
8	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	9	3	1	5	10	16	10
9	SK Novohrad Lucenec	9	3	1	5	13	13	10
10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	8	2	2	4	7	13	8
11	Tj Medzibrod	8	2	2	4	6	15	8
12	Banik Kalinovo	8	2	1	5	8	16	7
13	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	9	2	1	6	12	25	7
14	Dolny Kubin	9	1	1	7	6	20	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok II	Dukla Banska Bystrica B
FK Podkonice	4-4 D	1-4 L
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	4-1 W	1-1 D
FK Cadca	3-2 W	0-6 L
FTC Filakovo	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Ruzomberok II (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Ruzomberok II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	3-1	4-4	5	4	D
20/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	9	3	W
12/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	11	4	W
05/09	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
09/08	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
23/05	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L

Dukla Banska Bystrica B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	10	7	L
20/09	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
06/09	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
30/08	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	3	L
23/08	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-6	–	–	L
09/08	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	4	0	W
23/05	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dukla Banska Bystrica B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Ruzomberok II win (67%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok II 67%, draw 18%, Dukla Banska Bystrica B 14%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dukla Banska Bystrica B?

The model expects 3.65 goals (MFK Ruzomberok II 2.53 · Dukla Banska Bystrica B 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Dukla Banska Bystrica B?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.