Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto vs Banik Kalinovo

Team pages: MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto · Banik Kalinovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto1.48

Banik Kalinovo1.72

1X2

32% 25% 42%

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Draw Banik Kalinovo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWDLL

Banik Kalinovo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 1–1 Banik Kalinovo (2 last)

Banik Kalinovo1-0MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto2-0Banik Kalinovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 1434 · Banik Kalinovo 1492

	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	Draw	Banik Kalinovo
Our model	32%	25%	42%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banik Kalinovo (rating 1434 vs 1492).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	Banik Kalinovo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.5	1.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:01 +13’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 1–0–1 Banik Kalinovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Banik Kalinovo	1-0 HT 0-0	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
11/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	2-0 HT 1-0	Banik Kalinovo

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	12	9	2	1	43	17	29
2	Namestovo	12	9	1	2	31	13	28
3	FK Cadca	12	8	1	3	34	15	25
4	Fomat Martin	12	8	0	4	31	23	24
5	FTC Filakovo	12	6	3	3	20	15	21
6	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	12	5	2	5	15	18	17
7	FK Podkonice	12	4	4	4	26	23	16
8	Banik Kalinovo	12	5	1	6	14	24	16
9	Rimavska Sobota	12	5	0	7	19	23	15
10	SK Novohrad Lucenec	12	4	1	7	20	21	13
11	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	12	3	3	6	11	21	12
12	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	12	2	2	8	16	32	8
13	Tj Medzibrod	12	2	2	8	11	32	8
14	Dolny Kubin	12	1	4	7	10	24	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	Banik Kalinovo
SK Novohrad Lucenec	2-3 L	1-2 L
Dukla Banska Bystrica B	1-3 L	0-3 L
FK Podkonice	1-1 D	2-3 L
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	1-0 W	2-1 W
FK Cadca	0-6 L	0-4 L
FTC Filakovo	1-1 D	0-0 D
Tj Medzibrod	5-0 W	3-0 W
Namestovo	0-4 L	2-0 W
MFK Ruzomberok II	1-2 L	0-8 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

LLWLDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
17/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
11/10	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
03/10	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
19/09	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
30/08	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	6	6	W
22/08	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Banik Kalinovo

DLWLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	0-5	0-8	1	3	L
11/10	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
06/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
23/08	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto vs Banik Kalinovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Banik Kalinovo win (42%). Probabilities: MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 32%, draw 25%, Banik Kalinovo 42%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto vs Banik Kalinovo?

The model expects 3.2 goals (MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto 1.48 · Banik Kalinovo 1.72), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto vs Banik Kalinovo?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.