Prediction: Athlone Town (W) vs Shelbourne (W)
Expected goals: 3.02 (Athlone Town (W) 1.65 · Shelbourne (W) 1.36). The model gives 43% home, 26% draw, 31% away. Over 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Athlone Town (W) is 8-1-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Shelbourne (W) 7-2-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Athlone Town (W) and 2 for Shelbourne (W).
| Athlone Town (W) | Draw | Shelbourne (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1610 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athlone Town (W) | Shelbourne (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 2.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 3.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town (W) 4–0–2 Shelbourne (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women | Athlone Town (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 27/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Athlone Town (W) |
| 23/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Athlone Town (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 01/03/25 Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women | Shelbourne (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Athlone Town (W) |
| 20/10/24 Republic of Ireland League Cup Women | Athlone Town (W) | 1-6 HT 1-6 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 17/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Athlone Town (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galway (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Athlone Town (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Shelbourne (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Treaty United (W) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Wexford FC (W) | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 9 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Waterford FC (W) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 7 |
| 11 | DLR Waves (W) | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 5 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Athlone Town (W) | Shelbourne (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Peamount Utd (W) | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Shamrock Rovers (W) | 3-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Galway (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Bohemians Dublin (W) | 5-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athlone Town (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 4-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Shelbourne (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Cliftonville (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athlone Town (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Athlone Town (W) 43%, draw 26%, Shelbourne (W) 31%.
How many goals are expected in Athlone Town (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Athlone Town (W) 1.65 · Shelbourne (W) 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Athlone Town (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.