Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 18/07, 19:00

Prediction: Athlone Town (W) vs Bohemians Dublin (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Athlone Town (W)2.46

Bohemians Dublin (W)0.93

1X2

70% 19% 11%

Athlone Town (W) Draw Bohemians Dublin (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Athlone Town (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Bohemians Dublin (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Athlone Town (W) 5–1–0 Bohemians Dublin (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Athlone Town (W) 1602 · Bohemians Dublin (W) 1430

	Athlone Town (W)	Draw	Bohemians Dublin (W)
Our model	70%	18%	11%
Market	70%	19%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1602 vs 1430).
H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athlone Town (W)	Bohemians Dublin (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X4.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:09 +2’	1.28	4.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town (W) 5–1–0 Bohemians Dublin (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Bohemians Dublin (W)	2-5 HT 1-1	Athlone Town (W)
19/10/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Athlone Town (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	Bohemians Dublin (W)
09/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Bohemians Dublin (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	Athlone Town (W)
29/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Bohemians Dublin (W)
05/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Bohemians Dublin (W)
16/03/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Bohemians Dublin (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Athlone Town (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	11	8	2	1	24	9	26
2	Galway (W)	10	7	3	0	18	8	24
3	Shelbourne (W)	11	6	4	1	22	11	22
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	11	5	3	3	23	14	18
5	FC Treaty United (W)	11	5	3	3	13	7	18
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	11	4	4	3	18	16	16
7	Wexford FC (W)	11	3	5	3	18	14	14
8	Peamount Utd (W)	11	3	2	6	14	24	11
9	DLR Waves (W)	11	2	2	7	6	15	8
10	Bohemians Dublin (W)	10	1	4	5	10	17	7
11	Waterford FC (W)	11	1	4	6	5	19	7
12	Cork City (W)	11	1	2	8	8	25	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athlone Town (W)	Bohemians Dublin (W)
Shelbourne (W)	1-1 D	0-4 L
Shamrock Rovers (W)	3-1 W	0-0 D
FC Treaty United (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Waterford FC (W)	4-2 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
04/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
20/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
16/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
02/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	4-2	10	1	W
25/04	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	10	1	W
19/04	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/03	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	5-2	3	2	W

Bohemians Dublin (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
27/06	Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly	0-1	0-4	0	2	L
20/06	Wexford Youths (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
30/05	Waterford FC (W) Women’s Friendly	4-0	5-0	8	2	W
23/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	14	5	D
16/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
09/05	Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly	1-2	1-2	8	3	L
02/05	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	1-5	8	1	L
25/04	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
19/04	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athlone Town (W) vs Bohemians Dublin (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Athlone Town (W) 70%, draw 19%, Bohemians Dublin (W) 11%.

How many goals are expected in Athlone Town (W) vs Bohemians Dublin (W)?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Athlone Town (W) 2.46 · Bohemians Dublin (W) 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town (W) vs Bohemians Dublin (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.