Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: Shamrock Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Shamrock Rovers (W)1.58

FC Treaty United (W)0.87

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Shamrock Rovers (W) Draw FC Treaty United (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Shamrock Rovers (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLLLWD

FC Treaty United (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLDWDW

Head-to-head

Shamrock Rovers (W) 3–3–0 FC Treaty United (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1514 · FC Treaty United (W) 1543

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Draw	FC Treaty United (W)
Our model	53%	28%	19%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shamrock Rovers (W): 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +2’	1.65	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers (W) 3–3–0 FC Treaty United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)
12/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)
22/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	4-1 HT 1-1	FC Treaty United (W)
06/07/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Shamrock Rovers (W)
30/03/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	FC Treaty United (W)
23/03/24 Women’s Friendly	FC Treaty United (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	11	8	2	1	24	9	26
2	Galway (W)	10	7	3	0	18	8	24
3	Shelbourne (W)	11	6	4	1	22	11	22
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	11	5	3	3	23	14	18
5	FC Treaty United (W)	11	5	3	3	13	7	18
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	11	4	4	3	18	16	16
7	Wexford FC (W)	11	3	5	3	18	14	14
8	Peamount Utd (W)	11	3	2	6	14	24	11
9	DLR Waves (W)	11	2	2	7	6	15	8
10	Bohemians Dublin (W)	10	1	4	5	10	17	7
11	Waterford FC (W)	11	1	4	6	5	19	7
12	Cork City (W)	11	1	2	8	8	25	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shamrock Rovers (W)	FC Treaty United (W)
Galway (W)	3-3 D	0-2 L
Wexford FC (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Athlone Town (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
Peamount Utd (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
Waterford FC (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
DLR Waves (W)	2-0 W	3-0 W
Bohemians Dublin (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Treaty United (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shamrock Rovers (W)

DWDWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	3-3	2	2	D
04/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	2-4	7	3	L
20/06	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
13/06	Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
23/05	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	13	1	W
16/05	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
09/05	Sligo Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	3-1	2	1	W
02/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D

FC Treaty United (W)

WWLWDLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
27/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/06	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	11	0	W
23/05	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/05	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
25/04	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
19/04	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
28/03	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
21/03	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (W) 54%, draw 26%, FC Treaty United (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Shamrock Rovers (W) 1.58 · FC Treaty United (W) 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.