Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Peamount Utd (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Peamount Utd (W)1.46
FC Treaty United (W)1.43
1X2
Peamount Utd (W)
Draw
FC Treaty United (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Peamount Utd (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
FC Treaty United (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peamount Utd (W)
4–1–1
FC Treaty United (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peamount Utd (W) 1488 · FC Treaty United (W) 1504
| Peamount Utd (W) | Draw | FC Treaty United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Peamount Utd (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peamount Utd (W) | FC Treaty United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peamount Utd (W) 4–1–1 FC Treaty United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Peamount Utd (W) |
| 10/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Peamount Utd (W) | 4-1 HT 3-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 12/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Peamount Utd (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 11/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Peamount Utd (W) |
| 07/10/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Peamount Utd (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 26/08/23 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Peamount Utd (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Galway (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Shelbourne (W) | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Treaty United (W) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Wexford FC (W) | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 9 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Waterford FC (W) | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 7 |
| 11 | DLR Waves (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peamount Utd (W) | FC Treaty United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| DLR Waves (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Athlone Town (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Galway (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Cork City (W) | 0-6 L | 2-0 W |
| Shamrock Rovers (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shelbourne (W) | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Treaty United (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peamount Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Galway (W) Women’s Friendly |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Women’s Friendly |
4-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
FC Treaty United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Wexford Youths (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peamount Utd (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peamount Utd (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Peamount Utd (W) 37%, draw 27%, FC Treaty United (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Peamount Utd (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Peamount Utd (W) 1.46 · FC Treaty United (W) 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Peamount Utd (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.