Football · Denmark Division 3 · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: FC Helsingor vs Vanløse

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

FC Helsingor1.72

Vanløse1.21

1X2

49% 25% 26%

FC Helsingor Draw Vanløse

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Helsingor 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Vanløse 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDLLDW

Head-to-head

FC Helsingor 2–0 Vanløse (2 last)

FC Helsingor2-0Vanløse
FC Helsingor6-2Vanløse

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Helsingor 1494 · Vanløse 1470

	FC Helsingor	Draw	Vanløse
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Helsingor: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Helsingor	Vanløse
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/44/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	0.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:07 +2’	1.83	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Helsingor 2–0–0 Vanløse

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/01/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Helsingor	2-0 HT 2-0	Vanløse
24/08/19 Denmark 2. Division Group 1	FC Helsingor	6-2 HT 2-0	Vanløse

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASA Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bronshoj BK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Helsingor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Horsholm-Usserod IK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holbæk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holstebro	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ishoj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Næsby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ringsted IF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sundby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vanløse	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Helsingor

LWDDLDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Naestved Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-2	6	1	D
06/06	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
30/05	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
23/05	Ishoj Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
17/05	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	8	D
13/05	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-3	2-4	4	1	L
08/05	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	4	2	D
02/05	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
24/04	Ishoj Denmark Division 2	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
18/04	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	9	4	L

Vanløse

DWLLLDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Glostrup FK Europe Friendlies	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
14/07	Hellerup IK Club Friendly List	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	Nykobing Denmark Division 3	0-4	1-5	9	2	L
06/06	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-1	0-2	10	6	L
29/05	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
25/05	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
16/05	FA 2000 Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
09/05	Nykobing Denmark Division 3	0-2	0-3	1	5	L
02/05	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
25/04	Næsby Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-1	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Helsingor vs Vanløse?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Helsingor win (49%). Probabilities: FC Helsingor 49%, draw 25%, Vanløse 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Helsingor vs Vanløse?

The model expects 2.92 goals (FC Helsingor 1.72 · Vanløse 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Helsingor vs Vanløse?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.