Football · Denmark Division 3 · 01/08, 15:00
Prediction: ASA Aarhus vs Ringsted IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
ASA Aarhus1.69
Ringsted IF1.51
1X2
ASA Aarhus
Draw
Ringsted IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ASA Aarhus
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Ringsted IF
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASA Aarhus 1589 · Ringsted IF 1546
| ASA Aarhus | Draw | Ringsted IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASA Aarhus (rating 1589 vs 1546).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASA Aarhus | Ringsted IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.9 | 2.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/67/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.5 | 3.3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.3 |
Standings · Denmark Division 3
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bronshoj BK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Helsingor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holbæk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holstebro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ishoj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Næsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ringsted IF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sundby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vanløse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASA Aarhus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Glostrup FK Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Glostrup FK Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Esbjerg II Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Marienlyst Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Tarup-Paarup Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | OKS Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Oure FA Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Esbjerg II Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Marienlyst Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Tarup-Paarup Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Ringsted IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Sundby Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Avarta Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Glostrup FK Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Tårnby FF Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Frederikssund IK Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Espergærde IF Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Avarta Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Glostrup FK Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Tårnby FF Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Frederikssund IK Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASA Aarhus vs Ringsted IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASA Aarhus win (41%). Probabilities: ASA Aarhus 41%, draw 26%, Ringsted IF 33%.
How many goals are expected in ASA Aarhus vs Ringsted IF?
The model expects 3.2 goals (ASA Aarhus 1.69 · Ringsted IF 1.51), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in ASA Aarhus vs Ringsted IF?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.