Football · Denmark Division 3 · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Vanløse vs Næsby

Team pages: Vanløse · Næsby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Vanløse1.23
Næsby1.48
1X2
31% 26% 43%
Vanløse Draw Næsby
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vanløse 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLDWDW
Næsby 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Vanløse 1–2–3 Næsby (6 last)
  • Vanløse0-2Næsby
  • Næsby1-1Vanløse
  • Vanløse2-0Næsby
  • Næsby1-0Vanløse
  • Vanløse0-1Næsby
  • Næsby1-1Vanløse
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vanløse 1491 · Næsby 1555
VanløseDrawNæsby
Our model30%28%42%
Market32%24%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Næsby (rating 1491 vs 1555).
  • H2H favours Næsby: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VanløseNæsby
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 22.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 1.21.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/33/67%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 52.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.53.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vanløse 123 Næsby

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/05/26
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse0-2
HT 0-0
Næsby
25/04/26
Denmark Division 3
Næsby1-1
HT 1-1
Vanløse
02/04/26
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse2-0
HT 1-0
Næsby
23/08/25
Denmark Division 3
Næsby1-0
HT 0-0
Vanløse
18/11/23
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse0-1
HT 0-0
Næsby
07/10/23
Denmark Division 3
Næsby1-1
HT 1-0
Vanløse

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holstebro 1100 323
2 Holbæk 1100 213
2 Næsby 1100 213
4 FC Helsingor 1010 221
4 Vanløse 1010 221
6 ASA Aarhus 1010 111
6 Ringsted IF 1010 111
8 Bronshoj BK 1010 001
8 Ishoj 1010 001
10 Horsholm-Usserod IK 1001 230
11 Frem 1001 120
11 Sundby 1001 120

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVanløseNæsby
Nykobing 1-5 L 2-3 L
Horsholm-Usserod IK 0-2 L 4-2 W
Bronshoj BK 1-1 D 4-1 W
FA 2000 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Næsby (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vanløse

LLLDLLDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Køge Nord FC
Denmark Cup
0-0 4-1 W
31/07 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-2 65 D
22/07 Glostrup FK
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 36 W
14/07 Hellerup IK
Club Friendly List
1-1 D
13/06 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
0-4 1-5 92 L
06/06 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 106 L
29/05 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 38 D
25/05 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-2 54 L
16/05 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 35 L
09/05 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
0-2 0-3 15 L

Næsby

LWWWLWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Kolding BK
Denmark Cup
2-0 3-0 42 W
01/08 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-1 W
25/07 Middelfart
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 21 L
13/06 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-1 4-2 W
06/06 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 44 W
31/05 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-3 35 L
25/05 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 64 W
16/05 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
1-0 4-1 123 W
09/05 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-0 5-0 133 W
02/05 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 24 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vanløse vs Næsby?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Næsby win (43%). Probabilities: Vanløse 31%, draw 26%, Næsby 43%.

How many goals are expected in Vanløse vs Næsby?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Vanløse 1.23 · Næsby 1.48), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vanløse vs Næsby?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.