Football · Denmark Division 3 · 08/08, 14:30

Prediction: Holstebro vs Holbæk

Team pages: Holstebro · Holbæk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Holstebro1.21
Holbæk1.91
1X2
23% 23% 53%
Holstebro Draw Holbæk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Holstebro 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLWWWDWL
Holbæk 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Head-to-head
Holstebro 0–6 Holbæk (6 last)
  • Holbæk2-1Holstebro
  • Holstebro0-1Holbæk
  • Holbæk2-1Holstebro
  • Holstebro0-1Holbæk
  • Holbæk3-0Holstebro
  • Holstebro1-3Holbæk
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Holstebro 1523 · Holbæk 1591
HolstebroDrawHolbæk
Our model23%24%53%
Market24%22%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holbæk (rating 1523 vs 1591).
  • H2H favours Holbæk: 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HolstebroHolbæk
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.32.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/67/17%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.32 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 01.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Holstebro 006 Holbæk

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/25
Denmark Division 3
Holbæk2-1
HT 0-0
Holstebro
05/10/24
Denmark Division 3
Holstebro0-1
HT 0-0
Holbæk
25/09/24
Denmark Cup
Holbæk2-1
HT 1-0
Holstebro
01/04/24
Denmark Division 3
Holstebro0-1
HT 0-0
Holbæk
16/09/23
Denmark Division 3
Holbæk3-0
HT 2-0
Holstebro
09/05/21
Denmark 2. Division Group 1
Holstebro1-3
HT 1-2
Holbæk

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holstebro 1100 323
2 Holbæk 1100 213
2 Næsby 1100 213
4 FC Helsingor 1010 221
4 Vanløse 1010 221
6 ASA Aarhus 1010 111
6 Ringsted IF 1010 111
8 Bronshoj BK 1010 001
8 Ishoj 1010 001
10 Horsholm-Usserod IK 1001 230
11 Frem 1001 120
11 Sundby 1001 120

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Holstebro

WLDLWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 AaB
Denmark Cup
0-1 1-3 20 L
01/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-2 3-2 52 W
23/07 Skive
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-2 31 D
13/06 Marienlyst
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
0-0 1-0 93 W
07/06 Tarup-Paarup
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
5-0 W
30/05 OKS
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
4-0 W
23/05 Oure FA
Denmark Series Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 52 L
16/05 Esbjerg II
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
2-2 D
09/05 Marienlyst
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
1-3 L
03/05 Tarup-Paarup
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
0-0 3-0 84 W

Holbæk

WWWWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Cup
0-2 1-2 L
01/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-1 15 W
18/07 Hellerup IK
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-1 62 W
13/06 Vejgaard B
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 50 W
04/06 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 5-1 50 W
30/05 IF Lyseng
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-1 81 W
23/05 Frem
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-1 24 W
16/05 Odder IGF
Denmark Division 3
2-1 4-2 62 W
09/05 Vejgaard B
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-0 70 W
02/05 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-0 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Holstebro vs Holbæk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Holbæk win (53%). Probabilities: Holstebro 23%, draw 23%, Holbæk 53%.

How many goals are expected in Holstebro vs Holbæk?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Holstebro 1.21 · Holbæk 1.91), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Holstebro vs Holbæk?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.