Football · Denmark Division 3 · 01/08, 14:00
Prediction: Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Holstebro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Horsholm-Usserod IK1.94
Holstebro1.27
1X2
Horsholm-Usserod IK
Draw
Holstebro
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Horsholm-Usserod IK
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Holstebro
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1432 · Holstebro 1554
| Horsholm-Usserod IK | Draw | Holstebro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holstebro (rating 1432 vs 1554).
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Horsholm-Usserod IK | Holstebro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 2.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 3.5 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Standings · Denmark Division 3
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bronshoj BK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Helsingor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holbæk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holstebro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ishoj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Næsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ringsted IF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sundby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vanløse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Horsholm-Usserod IK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FC Roskilde Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Ishoj Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Nykobing Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Holstebro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Skive Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Marienlyst Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Tarup-Paarup Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | OKS Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Oure FA Denmark Series Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Esbjerg II Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Marienlyst Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Tarup-Paarup Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | OKS Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Oure FA Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Holstebro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Horsholm-Usserod IK win (52%). Probabilities: Horsholm-Usserod IK 52%, draw 24%, Holstebro 24%.
How many goals are expected in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Holstebro?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Horsholm-Usserod IK 1.94 · Holstebro 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Horsholm-Usserod IK vs Holstebro?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.