Football · Denmark Division 3 · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: Bronshoj BK vs Ishoj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

Bronshoj BK1.88

Ishoj1.52

1X2

45% 25% 30%

Bronshoj BK Draw Ishoj

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bronshoj BK 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLDDWD

Ishoj 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDLDLL

Head-to-head

Bronshoj BK 1–1–4 Ishoj (6 last)

Ishoj2-1Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK2-2Ishoj
Bronshoj BK1-5Ishoj
Bronshoj BK2-1Ishoj
Ishoj7-3Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK1-2Ishoj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bronshoj BK 1491 · Ishoj 1431

	Bronshoj BK	Draw	Ishoj
Our model	45%	24%	30%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bronshoj BK (rating 1491 vs 1431).
H2H favours Ishoj: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bronshoj BK	Ishoj
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:07 +2’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bronshoj BK 1–1–4 Ishoj

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Ishoj	2-1 HT 1-0	Bronshoj BK
07/03/23 Club Friendly List	Bronshoj BK	2-2 HT 0-1	Ishoj
30/08/22 Denmark Cup	Bronshoj BK	1-5 HT 0-2	Ishoj
18/06/22 Denmark Series Group 1	Bronshoj BK	2-1 HT 1-1	Ishoj
16/04/22 Denmark Series Group 1	Ishoj	7-3 HT 4-1	Bronshoj BK
02/10/21 Denmark Series Group 1	Bronshoj BK	1-2	Ishoj

Standings · Denmark Division 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASA Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bronshoj BK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Helsingor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Horsholm-Usserod IK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holbæk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holstebro	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ishoj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Næsby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ringsted IF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sundby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vanløse	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bronshoj BK	Ishoj
Fremad Amager	2-2 D	2-1 W
Horsholm-Usserod IK	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bronshoj BK

LDLWDLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Hellerup IK Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	2	0	D
22/07	Avarta Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
11/07	Fremad Amager Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	FA 2000 Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/06	Nykobing Denmark Division 3	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
29/05	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
22/05	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	2-0	3-2	5	0	W
16/05	Næsby Denmark Division 3	0-1	1-4	4	3	L
08/05	FA 2000 Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
03/05	Nykobing Denmark Division 3	1-1	1-5	3	5	L

Ishoj

LDLLWDLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Frem Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-3	2	0	L
11/07	Horsholm-Usserod IK Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-2	1	1	L
06/06	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
30/05	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
23/05	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
16/05	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
13/05	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-2	2	5	L
09/05	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	1-4	2-5	3	4	L
02/05	Skive Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-2	1	5	D
24/04	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-4	12	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bronshoj BK vs Ishoj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bronshoj BK win (45%). Probabilities: Bronshoj BK 45%, draw 25%, Ishoj 30%.

How many goals are expected in Bronshoj BK vs Ishoj?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Bronshoj BK 1.88 · Ishoj 1.52), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bronshoj BK vs Ishoj?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.