Football · Denmark Division 3 · 01/08, 14:00
Prediction: Næsby vs Sundby
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Næsby2.03
Sundby1.23
1X2
Næsby
Draw
Sundby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Næsby
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sundby
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Næsby
2–2
Sundby
(4 last)
- Sundby1-0Næsby
- Næsby3-1Sundby
- Sundby0-3Næsby
- Næsby0-2Sundby
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Næsby 1516 · Sundby 1509
| Næsby | Draw | Sundby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Næsby | Sundby | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Næsby 2–0–2 Sundby
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Denmark Division 3 | Sundby | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Næsby |
| 06/09/25 Denmark Division 3 | Næsby | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Sundby |
| 16/11/24 Denmark Division 3 | Sundby | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Næsby |
| 12/10/24 Denmark Division 3 | Næsby | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sundby |
Standings · Denmark Division 3
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bronshoj BK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Helsingor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Horsholm-Usserod IK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holbæk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holstebro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ishoj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Næsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ringsted IF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sundby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vanløse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Næsby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Middelfart Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Nykobing Denmark Division 3 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Nykobing Denmark Division 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Sundby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Ringsted IF Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Fremad Amager Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Frem Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/06 | Holbæk Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Odder IGF Denmark Division 3 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | IF Lyseng Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Vejgaard B Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Frem Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Holbæk Denmark Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | IF Lyseng Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Næsby vs Sundby?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Næsby win (55%). Probabilities: Næsby 55%, draw 23%, Sundby 22%.
How many goals are expected in Næsby vs Sundby?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Næsby 2.03 · Sundby 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Næsby vs Sundby?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.