Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 31/10, 13:30

Prediction: FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs Spisska Nova Ves

Team pages: FC Lokomotiva Kosice · Spisska Nova Ves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

FC Lokomotiva Kosice1.6

Spisska Nova Ves1.13

1X2

48% 25% 27%

FC Lokomotiva Kosice Draw Spisska Nova Ves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lokomotiva Kosice 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWWWL

Spisska Nova Ves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWLLLW

Head-to-head

FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1–2–3 Spisska Nova Ves (6 last)

Spisska Nova Ves3-0FC Lokomotiva Kosice
FC Lokomotiva Kosice1-4Spisska Nova Ves
FC Lokomotiva Kosice0-0Spisska Nova Ves
Spisska Nova Ves3-1FC Lokomotiva Kosice
FC Lokomotiva Kosice5-0Spisska Nova Ves
Spisska Nova Ves1-1FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1543 · Spisska Nova Ves 1480

	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	Draw	Spisska Nova Ves
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lokomotiva Kosice (rating 1543 vs 1480).
H2H favours Spisska Nova Ves: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	Spisska Nova Ves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.5	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.5	4.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.75

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +7’	1.85	3.75	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1–2–3 Spisska Nova Ves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spisska Nova Ves	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
18/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	1-4 HT 1-2	Spisska Nova Ves
26/03/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0-0 HT 0-0	Spisska Nova Ves
17/08/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spisska Nova Ves	3-1 HT 1-1	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
20/05/18 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	5-0 HT 2-0	Spisska Nova Ves
04/11/17 Slovakia 2. Liga	Spisska Nova Ves	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Stara Lubovna	12	7	3	2	26	14	24
2	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	12	7	3	2	19	6	24
3	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	12	7	2	3	19	15	23
4	Spartak Medzev	12	7	2	3	25	17	23
5	Partizan Bardejov	12	6	2	4	22	20	20
6	Spisska Nova Ves	12	6	1	5	18	15	19
7	Odeva Lipany	12	5	3	4	24	16	18
8	FK Poprad	12	5	2	5	20	17	17
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	12	5	2	5	21	14	17
10	Slavia TU Kosice	12	5	1	6	23	21	16
11	MFK Snina	12	3	5	4	11	18	14
12	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	12	4	1	7	12	27	13
13	Slovan Sabinov	12	1	4	7	4	18	7
14	MFK Kezmarok	12	0	1	11	7	33	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	Spisska Nova Ves
MFK Stara Lubovna	1-2 L	2-2 D
Slavia TU Kosice	1-0 W	2-1 W
Partizan Bardejov	2-1 W	0-1 L
MFK Kezmarok	3-0 W	4-1 W
MFK Snina	0-0 D	1-2 L
Spartak Medzev	0-0 D	1-2 L
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	3-0 W	1-2 L
FK Poprad	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lokomotiva Kosice (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lokomotiva Kosice

LWDDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	8	8	L
17/10	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
10/10	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
03/10	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	10	3	W
26/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/09	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
05/09	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	6	5	W
22/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Spisska Nova Ves

WDLWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	3	2	W
18/10	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
10/10	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	11	5	L
26/09	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	7	W
19/09	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs Spisska Nova Ves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lokomotiva Kosice win (48%). Probabilities: FC Lokomotiva Kosice 48%, draw 25%, Spisska Nova Ves 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs Spisska Nova Ves?

The model expects 2.72 goals (FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1.6 · Spisska Nova Ves 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs Spisska Nova Ves?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.