Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Team pages: FC Lokomotiva Kosice · MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

FC Lokomotiva Kosice2.39

MFK Vranov nad Toplou0.75

1X2

73% 17% 9%

FC Lokomotiva Kosice Draw MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lokomotiva Kosice 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWDDWW

MFK Vranov nad Toplou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLWDW

Head-to-head

FC Lokomotiva Kosice 0–3–1 MFK Vranov nad Toplou (4 last)

FC Lokomotiva Kosice1-1MFK Vranov nad Toplou
MFK Vranov nad Toplou1-1FC Lokomotiva Kosice
MFK Vranov nad Toplou1-0FC Lokomotiva Kosice
FC Lokomotiva Kosice0-0MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1574 · MFK Vranov nad Toplou 1467

	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	Draw	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
Our model	73%	18%	9%
Market	73%	17%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lokomotiva Kosice (rating 1574 vs 1467).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.5	1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4.3	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.25

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +18’	1.22	5.25	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 0–3–1 MFK Vranov nad Toplou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	1-1 HT 0-0	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
11/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
22/03/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
25/08/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Stara Lubovna	8	5	2	1	19	9	17
2	Odeva Lipany	8	5	1	2	21	8	16
3	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	8	5	1	2	12	11	16
4	Spisska Nova Ves	8	5	1	2	11	8	16
5	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	8	4	3	1	12	4	15
6	Spartak Medzev	8	4	1	3	17	13	13
7	Partizan Bardejov	8	4	1	3	13	13	13
8	FK Poprad	8	4	0	4	12	9	12
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	8	3	2	3	13	9	11
10	Slavia TU Kosice	8	3	0	5	15	16	9
11	MFK Snina	8	2	3	3	5	8	9
12	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	8	2	1	5	8	21	7
13	Slovan Sabinov	8	1	2	5	3	13	5
14	MFK Kezmarok	8	0	0	8	4	23	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
MFK Kezmarok	3-0 W	2-0 W
MFK Snina	0-0 D	1-1 D
Spartak Medzev	0-0 D	2-1 W
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	3-0 W	0-3 L
FK Poprad	1-2 L	0-3 L
Odeva Lipany	2-0 W	1-8 L
MSK Tesla Stropkov	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lokomotiva Kosice (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lokomotiva Kosice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/09	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
05/09	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	6	5	W
22/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
09/08	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

MFK Vranov nad Toplou

LDLLLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/09	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
12/09	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/09	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
29/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-3	1-8	–	–	L
15/08	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/05	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	FC Kosice B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lokomotiva Kosice win (73%). Probabilities: FC Lokomotiva Kosice 73%, draw 17%, MFK Vranov nad Toplou 9%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou?

The model expects 3.15 goals (FC Lokomotiva Kosice 2.39 · MFK Vranov nad Toplou 0.75), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lokomotiva Kosice vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.