Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 03/10, 17:00

Prediction: FK Poprad vs MSK Tesla Stropkov

Team pages: FK Poprad · MSK Tesla Stropkov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

FK Poprad1.53

MSK Tesla Stropkov1.22

1X2

43% 27% 30%

FK Poprad Draw MSK Tesla Stropkov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Poprad 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWWLLL

MSK Tesla Stropkov 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLLLWD

Head-to-head

FK Poprad 2–4 MSK Tesla Stropkov (6 last)

FK Poprad3-0MSK Tesla Stropkov
MSK Tesla Stropkov2-1FK Poprad
FK Poprad2-4MSK Tesla Stropkov
MSK Tesla Stropkov1-0FK Poprad
FK Poprad1-3MSK Tesla Stropkov
FK Poprad5-2MSK Tesla Stropkov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Poprad 1504 · MSK Tesla Stropkov 1522

	FK Poprad	Draw	MSK Tesla Stropkov
Our model	43%	28%	29%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MSK Tesla Stropkov: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Poprad	MSK Tesla Stropkov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.8	4 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:48 +11’	2.05	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Poprad 2–0–4 MSK Tesla Stropkov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Poprad	3-0 HT 1-0	MSK Tesla Stropkov
12/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Poprad
30/09/25 Slovakia Cup	FK Poprad	2-4 HT 1-2	MSK Tesla Stropkov
09/03/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Tesla Stropkov	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Poprad
10/08/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Poprad	1-3 HT 1-2	MSK Tesla Stropkov
27/09/23 Slovakia Cup	FK Poprad	5-2 HT 4-1	MSK Tesla Stropkov

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Stara Lubovna	8	5	2	1	19	9	17
2	Odeva Lipany	8	5	1	2	21	8	16
3	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	8	5	1	2	12	11	16
4	Spisska Nova Ves	8	5	1	2	11	8	16
5	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	8	4	3	1	12	4	15
6	Spartak Medzev	8	4	1	3	17	13	13
7	Partizan Bardejov	8	4	1	3	13	13	13
8	FK Poprad	8	4	0	4	12	9	12
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	8	3	2	3	13	9	11
10	Slavia TU Kosice	8	3	0	5	15	16	9
11	MFK Snina	8	2	3	3	5	8	9
12	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	8	2	1	5	8	21	7
13	Slovan Sabinov	8	1	2	5	3	13	5
14	MFK Kezmarok	8	0	0	8	4	23	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Poprad	MSK Tesla Stropkov
Spisska Nova Ves	0-2 L	1-2 L
MFK Stara Lubovna	1-2 L	0-1 L
Slavia TU Kosice	2-3 L	1-2 L
Slovan Sabinov	2-0 W	3-0 W
MFK Vranov nad Toplou	3-0 W	3-2 W
FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2-1 W	1-1 D
Odeva Lipany	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Poprad

DDLWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
19/09	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
05/09	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
29/08	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

MSK Tesla Stropkov

DWDWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
19/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
23/08	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
09/08	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga	4-0	6-1	–	–	W
23/05	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Poprad vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Poprad win (43%). Probabilities: FK Poprad 43%, draw 27%, MSK Tesla Stropkov 30%.

How many goals are expected in FK Poprad vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?

The model expects 2.75 goals (FK Poprad 1.53 · MSK Tesla Stropkov 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Poprad vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.