Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 26/09, 15:30

Prediction: MFK Vranov nad Toplou vs MFK Kezmarok

Team pages: MFK Vranov nad Toplou · MFK Kezmarok

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
MFK Vranov nad Toplou2.5
MFK Kezmarok1.28
1X2
63% 20% 17%
MFK Vranov nad Toplou Draw MFK Kezmarok
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Vranov nad Toplou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLLLWD
MFK Kezmarok 0-0-10 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
MFK Vranov nad Toplou 0–2–0 MFK Kezmarok (2 last)
  • MFK Kezmarok1-1MFK Vranov nad Toplou
  • MFK Vranov nad Toplou1-1MFK Kezmarok
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Vranov nad Toplou 1471 · MFK Kezmarok 1365
MFK Vranov nad ToplouDrawMFK Kezmarok
Our model63%19%17%
Market63%20%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Vranov nad Toplou (rating 1471 vs 1365).
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MFK Vranov nad ToplouMFK Kezmarok
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 2.70.5 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.90.1 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 71.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 05 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Vranov nad Toplou 0–2–0 MFK Kezmarok

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Slovakia 3. Liga
MFK Kezmarok1-1
HT 0-0
MFK Vranov nad Toplou
02/08/25
Slovakia 3. Liga
MFK Vranov nad Toplou1-1
HT 1-1
MFK Kezmarok

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ofk-Sim Raslavice 7511 12616
2 Odeva Lipany 7502 20715
3 MFK Stara Lubovna 7421 14914
4 Spartak Medzev 7412 15713
5 Partizan Bardejov 7412 121113
6 Spisska Nova Ves 7412 9813
7 FK Poprad 7403 12712
8 FC Lokomotiva Kosice 7331 10312
9 MSK Tesla Stropkov 7313 12810
10 MFK Snina 7223 588
11 Slavia TU Kosice 7205 9146
12 Slovan Sabinov 7115 3134
13 MFK Vranov nad Toplou 7115 6214
14 MFK Kezmarok 7007 4210

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMFK Vranov nad ToplouMFK Kezmarok
MFK Snina 1-1 D 0-3 L
Spartak Medzev 2-1 W 1-3 L
Ofk-Sim Raslavice 0-3 L 0-1 L
FK Poprad 0-3 L 0-2 L
Odeva Lipany 1-8 L 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Kezmarok (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Vranov nad Toplou

WLDLLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 MFK Snina
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-1 1-1 33 D
12/09 Spartak Medzev
Slovakia 3. Liga
2-1 2-1 –– W
07/09 Ofk-Sim Raslavice
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-3 43 L
29/08 FK Poprad
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 0-3 –– L
22/08 Odeva Lipany
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-3 1-8 –– L
15/08 MSK Tesla Stropkov
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 2-3 –– L
08/08 Spisska Nova Ves
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 –– L
30/05 Spartak Medzev
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 2-2 –– D
23/05 FC Kosice B
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-2 0-4 –– L
16/05 MSK Spisske Podhradie
Slovakia 3. Liga
4-0 9-0 140 W

MFK Kezmarok

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-2 0-3 –– L
12/09 Partizan Bardejov
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-2 3-4 55 L
06/09 MFK Snina
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-3 87 L
29/08 Spartak Medzev
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 1-3 –– L
22/08 Ofk-Sim Raslavice
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-1 –– L
15/08 FK Poprad
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 –– L
08/08 Odeva Lipany
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-3 0-5 –– L
30/05 MFK Snina
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 1-3 –– L
23/05 FK Humenne
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-4 0-6 –– L
17/05 Slovan Sabinov
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-1 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Vranov nad Toplou vs MFK Kezmarok?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Vranov nad Toplou win (63%). Probabilities: MFK Vranov nad Toplou 63%, draw 20%, MFK Kezmarok 17%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Vranov nad Toplou vs MFK Kezmarok?

The model expects 3.78 goals (MFK Vranov nad Toplou 2.5 · MFK Kezmarok 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Vranov nad Toplou vs MFK Kezmarok?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.