Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 20/09, 15:30

Prediction: MFK Snina vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Team pages: MFK Snina · MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

MFK Snina2.08

MFK Vranov nad Toplou1.3

1X2

54% 23% 22%

MFK Snina Draw MFK Vranov nad Toplou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Snina 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLLWD

MFK Vranov nad Toplou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLLLLW

Head-to-head

MFK Snina 3–2–1 MFK Vranov nad Toplou (6 last)

MFK Vranov nad Toplou2-2MFK Snina
MFK Snina1-0MFK Vranov nad Toplou
MFK Snina1-0MFK Vranov nad Toplou
MFK Vranov nad Toplou1-0MFK Snina
MFK Snina2-1MFK Vranov nad Toplou
MFK Vranov nad Toplou3-3MFK Snina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Snina 1506 · MFK Vranov nad Toplou 1463

	MFK Snina	Draw	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Snina (rating 1506 vs 1463).
H2H favours MFK Snina: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Snina	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.7 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	0 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +5’	1.65	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Snina 3–2–1 MFK Vranov nad Toplou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	2-2 HT 1-0	MFK Snina
24/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Snina	1-0 HT 0-0	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
30/03/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Snina	1-0 HT 1-0	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
31/08/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	1-0 HT 0-0	MFK Snina
07/04/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Snina	2-1 HT 1-0	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
09/09/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	3-3 HT 2-0	MFK Snina

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	7	5	1	1	12	6	16
2	Partizan Bardejov	6	4	1	1	12	8	13
3	Spisska Nova Ves	6	4	1	1	9	5	13
4	Odeva Lipany	6	4	0	2	17	7	12
5	FK Poprad	6	4	0	2	11	5	12
6	MFK Stara Lubovna	6	3	2	1	12	8	11
7	Spartak Medzev	6	3	1	2	12	7	10
8	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	6	2	3	1	7	3	9
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	6	2	1	3	9	8	7
10	MFK Snina	6	2	1	3	4	7	7
11	Slavia TU Kosice	7	2	0	5	9	14	6
12	Slovan Sabinov	6	1	1	4	3	10	4
13	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	6	1	0	5	5	20	3
14	MFK Kezmarok	6	0	0	6	4	18	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Snina	MFK Vranov nad Toplou
FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0-0 D	1-1 D
Spartak Medzev	0-3 L	2-1 W
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	0-3 L	0-3 L
FK Poprad	1-0 W	0-3 L
FC Kosice B	4-0 W	0-4 L
MSK Spisske Podhradie	2-2 D	9-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Snina

DWWWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
06/09	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
29/08	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
22/08	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	7	4	L
08/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
23/05	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	FC Kosice B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	2	8	W
10/05	MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	7	0	D

MFK Vranov nad Toplou

DWLDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/09	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
29/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-3	1-8	–	–	L
15/08	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/05	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	FC Kosice B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
16/05	MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga	4-0	9-0	14	0	W
09/05	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Snina vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Snina win (54%). Probabilities: MFK Snina 54%, draw 23%, MFK Vranov nad Toplou 22%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Snina vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou?

The model expects 3.38 goals (MFK Snina 2.08 · MFK Vranov nad Toplou 1.3), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Snina vs MFK Vranov nad Toplou?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.