Football · Hungary NB II · 19/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Ajka vs Csakvari TK

Team pages: FC Ajka · Csakvari TK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

FC Ajka1.6

Csakvari TK0.97

1X2

51% 27% 22%

FC Ajka Draw Csakvari TK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ajka 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDDWWL

Csakvari TK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLLLD

Head-to-head

FC Ajka 1–1–4 Csakvari TK (6 last)

FC Ajka0-2Csakvari TK
FC Ajka1-2Csakvari TK
Csakvari TK1-0FC Ajka
FC Ajka2-1Csakvari TK
FC Ajka0-1Csakvari TK
Csakvari TK2-2FC Ajka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ajka 1462 · Csakvari TK 1476

	FC Ajka	Draw	Csakvari TK
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	51%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Csakvari TK: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ajka	Csakvari TK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	5.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.40

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.83 ★
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	3.75 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:58 +2’	1.80	3.50	3.75
16:46 +2’	1.75▼	3.40▼	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:24 +19’	1.83	3.40	3.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ajka 1–1–4 Csakvari TK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Europe Friendlies	FC Ajka	0-2 HT 0-1	Csakvari TK
08/03/26 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	1-2 HT 1-2	Csakvari TK
31/08/25 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Ajka
19/07/25 Club Friendly List	FC Ajka	2-1 HT 0-1	Csakvari TK
11/05/25 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-1 HT 0-1	Csakvari TK
10/11/24 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Ajka

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	7	6	1	0	20	4	19
2	Tiszakecske FC	7	4	3	0	14	7	15
3	Kecskemeti TE	7	4	2	1	14	8	14
4	Gyirmot SE	7	4	1	2	13	12	13
5	Kazincbarcikai BSC	7	3	4	0	12	7	13
6	FC Ajka	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
7	Karcagi SE	7	2	4	1	12	10	10
8	Fehervar FC	7	3	0	4	11	10	9
9	Mezokovesd Zsory	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
10	Szentlorinc SE	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
11	FC Nagykanizsa	7	2	0	5	6	10	6
12	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
13	BVSC Zuglo	6	1	1	4	3	7	4
14	Diosgyori VTK	6	1	1	4	6	15	4
15	Csakvari TK	7	1	1	5	8	18	4
16	Kozarmisleny SE	7	1	0	6	5	15	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ajka	Csakvari TK
Soroksar	0-3 L	0-6 L
Szentlorinc SE	1-0 W	2-3 L
FC Nagykanizsa	2-0 W	1-2 L
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	0-3 L	2-2 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ajka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ajka

DLLLWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
25/07	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/05	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
10/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
03/05	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
26/04	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	2	6	D

Csakvari TK

LWWLLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
30/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-3	0-6	1	2	L
23/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
16/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-3	2-3	5	7	L
09/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
02/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	10	8	L
26/07	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	8	7	L
17/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/05	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/05	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ajka vs Csakvari TK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ajka win (51%). Probabilities: FC Ajka 51%, draw 27%, Csakvari TK 22%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ajka vs Csakvari TK?

The model expects 2.57 goals (FC Ajka 1.6 · Csakvari TK 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ajka vs Csakvari TK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.