Football · Hungary NB II · 20/09, 19:00

Prediction: Soroksar vs Tiszakecske FC

Team pages: Soroksar · Tiszakecske FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Soroksar1.84

Tiszakecske FC1.51

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Soroksar Draw Tiszakecske FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Soroksar 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWWWW

Tiszakecske FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWDWWW

Head-to-head

Soroksar 2–1–3 Tiszakecske FC (6 last)

Tiszakecske FC3-2Soroksar
Soroksar2-2Tiszakecske FC
Soroksar1-0Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC1-0Soroksar
Soroksar1-0Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC1-0Soroksar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Soroksar 1587 · Tiszakecske FC 1531

	Soroksar	Draw	Tiszakecske FC
Our model	45%	24%	31%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soroksar (rating 1587 vs 1531).
H2H favours Tiszakecske FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Soroksar	Tiszakecske FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.6	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	3.7 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.52 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:44 +2’	2.05	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +83’	1.98	3.16	3.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Soroksar 2–1–3 Tiszakecske FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	3-2 HT 2-1	Soroksar
10/08/25 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	2-2 HT 2-1	Tiszakecske FC
10/03/24 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	1-0 HT 0-0	Tiszakecske FC
03/09/23 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Soroksar
19/03/23 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	1-0 HT 0-0	Tiszakecske FC
02/10/22 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Soroksar

Standings · Hungary NB II

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	7	6	1	0	20	4	19
2	Tiszakecske FC	7	4	3	0	14	7	15
3	Kecskemeti TE	7	4	2	1	14	8	14
4	Gyirmot SE	7	4	1	2	13	12	13
5	Kazincbarcikai BSC	7	3	4	0	12	7	13
6	FC Ajka	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
7	Karcagi SE	7	2	4	1	12	10	10
8	Fehervar FC	7	3	0	4	11	10	9
9	Mezokovesd Zsory	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
10	Szentlorinc SE	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
11	FC Nagykanizsa	7	2	0	5	6	10	6
12	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
13	BVSC Zuglo	6	1	1	4	3	7	4
14	Diosgyori VTK	6	1	1	4	6	15	4
15	Csakvari TK	7	1	1	5	8	18	4
16	Kozarmisleny SE	7	1	0	6	5	15	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Soroksar	Tiszakecske FC
Szentlorinc SE	3-2 W	2-0 W
FC Nagykanizsa	1-0 W	2-1 W
Diosgyori VTK	4-0 W	4-1 W
Karcagi SE	2-2 D	3-3 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	1-0 W	1-0 W
Kecskemeti TE	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Soroksar (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Soroksar

WLWWDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	11	4	W
30/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
23/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	2-2	3-2	2	7	W
15/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	4-0	5	5	W
02/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	4	5	D
26/07	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
17/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
10/05	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
03/05	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	3-0	3-1	5	4	W

Tiszakecske FC

WWLDDWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	13	2	W
16/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	3-3	4	7	D
08/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
25/07	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-2	1-2	10	4	L
10/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
03/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Soroksar vs Tiszakecske FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Soroksar win (44%). Probabilities: Soroksar 44%, draw 26%, Tiszakecske FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Soroksar vs Tiszakecske FC?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Soroksar 1.84 · Tiszakecske FC 1.51), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Soroksar vs Tiszakecske FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.