Football · Hungary NB II · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Szentlorinc SE vs BVSC Zuglo

Team pages: Szentlorinc SE · BVSC Zuglo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Szentlorinc SE1.11

BVSC Zuglo1.06

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Szentlorinc SE Draw BVSC Zuglo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Szentlorinc SE 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWLLL

BVSC Zuglo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Szentlorinc SE 2–2–2 BVSC Zuglo (6 last)

Szentlorinc SE2-0BVSC Zuglo
BVSC Zuglo2-1Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE1-0BVSC Zuglo
BVSC Zuglo1-1Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE0-0BVSC Zuglo
Szentlorinc SE1-2BVSC Zuglo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szentlorinc SE 1518 · BVSC Zuglo 1483

	Szentlorinc SE	Draw	BVSC Zuglo
Our model	35%	32%	33%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szentlorinc SE	BVSC Zuglo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.51
X	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 2.63▼	Pinn 2.71 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +28’	2.15	3.20	3.00
20:57 +1’	2.45▲	3.10▼	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:17 +281’	2.51	2.97	2.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szentlorinc SE 2–2–2 BVSC Zuglo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	2-0 HT 1-0	BVSC Zuglo
02/11/25 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	2-1 HT 0-1	Szentlorinc SE
09/03/25 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-0 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo
25/08/24 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	1-1 HT 0-1	Szentlorinc SE
17/09/23 Hungary Cup	Szentlorinc SE	0-0 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo
04/06/23 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-2 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	7	6	1	0	20	4	19
2	Tiszakecske FC	7	4	3	0	14	7	15
3	Kecskemeti TE	7	4	2	1	14	8	14
4	Gyirmot SE	7	4	1	2	13	12	13
5	Kazincbarcikai BSC	7	3	4	0	12	7	13
6	FC Ajka	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
7	Karcagi SE	7	2	4	1	12	10	10
8	Fehervar FC	7	3	0	4	11	10	9
9	Mezokovesd Zsory	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
10	Szentlorinc SE	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
11	FC Nagykanizsa	7	2	0	5	6	10	6
12	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
13	BVSC Zuglo	6	1	1	4	3	7	4
14	Diosgyori VTK	6	1	1	4	6	15	4
15	Csakvari TK	7	1	1	5	8	18	4
16	Kozarmisleny SE	7	1	0	6	5	15	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szentlorinc SE	BVSC Zuglo
FC Nagykanizsa	1-0 W	0-1 L
Karcagi SE	0-0 D	1-4 L
Fehervar FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Szentlorinc SE (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szentlorinc SE

WWWWDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
23/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-3	3	7	L
16/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-1	3-2	9	7	W
09/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/07	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
10/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
03/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	5	3	W

BVSC Zuglo

LWDWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
29/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
22/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-4	6	4	L
15/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
08/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
25/07	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
17/05	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	0	3	W
10/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
03/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
26/04	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szentlorinc SE vs BVSC Zuglo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szentlorinc SE win (36%). Probabilities: Szentlorinc SE 36%, draw 30%, BVSC Zuglo 34%.

How many goals are expected in Szentlorinc SE vs BVSC Zuglo?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Szentlorinc SE 1.11 · BVSC Zuglo 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szentlorinc SE vs BVSC Zuglo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.