Football · Hungary NB II · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Karcagi SE vs Kozarmisleny SE

Team pages: Karcagi SE · Kozarmisleny SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Karcagi SE1.74

Kozarmisleny SE0.99

1X2

54% 25% 20%

Karcagi SE Draw Kozarmisleny SE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Karcagi SE 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDDDDWWL

Kozarmisleny SE 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Karcagi SE 0–1–1 Kozarmisleny SE (2 last)

Kozarmisleny SE2-1Karcagi SE
Karcagi SE1-1Kozarmisleny SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karcagi SE 1467 · Kozarmisleny SE 1511

	Karcagi SE	Draw	Kozarmisleny SE
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kozarmisleny SE (rating 1467 vs 1511).
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karcagi SE	Kozarmisleny SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.6	1.4 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	6.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:28 +8’	1.65	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Karcagi SE 0–1–1 Kozarmisleny SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	2-1 HT 0-1	Karcagi SE
30/11/25 Hungary NB II	Karcagi SE	1-1 HT 0-1	Kozarmisleny SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	7	6	1	0	20	4	19
2	Tiszakecske FC	7	4	3	0	14	7	15
3	Kecskemeti TE	7	4	2	1	14	8	14
4	Gyirmot SE	7	4	1	2	13	12	13
5	Kazincbarcikai BSC	7	3	4	0	12	7	13
6	FC Ajka	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
7	Karcagi SE	7	2	4	1	12	10	10
8	Fehervar FC	7	3	0	4	11	10	9
9	Mezokovesd Zsory	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
10	Szentlorinc SE	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
11	FC Nagykanizsa	7	2	0	5	6	10	6
12	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
13	BVSC Zuglo	6	1	1	4	3	7	4
14	Diosgyori VTK	6	1	1	4	6	15	4
15	Csakvari TK	7	1	1	5	8	18	4
16	Kozarmisleny SE	7	1	0	6	5	15	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karcagi SE	Kozarmisleny SE
Gyirmot SE	0-2 L	1-2 L
Fehervar FC	2-1 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karcagi SE

LLLDDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
22/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	4-1	1	4	W
16/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-0	3-3	6	7	D
08/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
02/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
26/07	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
17/05	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	7	L
10/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
03/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	10	4	L

Kozarmisleny SE

WWWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-3	0	3	L
22/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
15/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
01/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	2	13	L
25/07	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	3	5	L
17/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
03/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karcagi SE vs Kozarmisleny SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karcagi SE win (54%). Probabilities: Karcagi SE 54%, draw 25%, Kozarmisleny SE 20%.

How many goals are expected in Karcagi SE vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Karcagi SE 1.74 · Kozarmisleny SE 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Karcagi SE vs Kozarmisleny SE?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.