Prediction: Guastatoya vs Malacateco
Team pages: Guastatoya · Malacateco
- Malacateco1-0Guastatoya
- Guastatoya1-1Malacateco
- Malacateco0-1Guastatoya
- Guastatoya1-2Malacateco
- Guastatoya1-1Malacateco
- Malacateco5-2Guastatoya
| Guastatoya | Draw | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 30% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Malacateco: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guastatoya | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.7 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guastatoya 1–2–3 Malacateco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guastatoya |
| 15/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
| 20/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Guastatoya |
| 10/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
| 22/03/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Malacateco |
| 16/02/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 5-2 HT 4-1 | Guastatoya |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo San Pedro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Malacateco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Coban Imperial | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Suchitepequez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | CSD Comunicaciones | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Aurora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Xelaju | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Marquense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Deportivo Mixco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guastatoya | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CSD Municipal | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Antigua GFC | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Coban Imperial | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Achuapa | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Xelaju | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Guastatoya (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guastatoya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 07/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 29/03 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 29/03 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/03 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 19/03 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guastatoya win (53%). Probabilities: Guastatoya 53%, draw 28%, Malacateco 18%.
How many goals are expected in Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Guastatoya 1.39 · Malacateco 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.