Football · Austria Cup · 25/07, 17:00

Prediction: FC Lustenau vs FC Kitzbuhel

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
FC Lustenau1.49
FC Kitzbuhel1.55
1X2
37% 24% 39%
FC Lustenau Draw FC Kitzbuhel
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Lustenau 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLDLDLW
FC Kitzbuhel 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWLDWWW
Head-to-head
FC Lustenau 0–1–1 FC Kitzbuhel (2 last)
  • FC Kitzbuhel1-0FC Lustenau
  • FC Lustenau1-1FC Kitzbuhel
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lustenau 1448 · FC Kitzbuhel 1566
FC LustenauDrawFC Kitzbuhel
Our model36%26%38%
Market38%22%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kitzbuhel (rating 1448 vs 1566).
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC LustenauFC Kitzbuhel
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.82.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.30.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.22.3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.32.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lustenau 011 FC Kitzbuhel

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Austria Regionalliga West
FC Kitzbuhel1-0
HT 0-0
FC Lustenau
13/09/25
Austria Regionalliga West
FC Lustenau1-1
HT 0-1
FC Kitzbuhel

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC LustenauFC Kitzbuhel
TSV St. Johann 3-1 W 0-0 D
FC Kufstein 1-4 L 1-3 L
Hohenems 2-2 D 2-1 W
SV Kuchl 1-3 L 1-3 L
SC Schwaz 2-2 D 2-0 W
SC Imst 1-4 L 0-2 L
SK Bischofshofen 1-4 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kitzbuhel (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lustenau

LLWLLDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/06 TSV St. Johann
Austria Regionalliga West
2-0 3-1 54 W
06/06 FC Kufstein
Austria Regionalliga West
0-3 1-4 L
04/06 Hohenems
Austria Regionalliga West
0-1 2-2 27 D
30/05 SV Kuchl
Austria Regionalliga West
1-2 1-3 24 L
23/05 SC Schwaz
Austria Regionalliga West
1-1 2-2 24 D
16/05 SC Imst
Austria Regionalliga West
0-2 1-4 L
09/05 SK Bischofshofen
Austria Regionalliga West
0-3 1-4 85 L
02/05 FC Lauterach
Austria Regionalliga West
2-0 3-2 65 W
19/04 FC Wacker Innsbruck
Austria Regionalliga West
0-1 0-5 L
11/04 FC Kitzbuhel
Austria Regionalliga West
0-0 0-1 L

FC Kitzbuhel

WLWLWLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 SK Ebbs
Europe Friendlies
3-1 5-3 50 W
13/06 Seekirchen
Austria Regionalliga West
1-1 4-1 W
07/06 SCR Altach II
Austria Regionalliga West
0-0 5-2 52 W
04/06 TSV St. Johann
Austria Regionalliga West
0-0 0-0 104 D
29/05 FC Kufstein
Austria Regionalliga West
1-0 1-3 L
22/05 Hohenems
Austria Regionalliga West
1-0 2-1 W
14/05 SV Kuchl
Austria Regionalliga West
1-0 1-3 63 L
09/05 SC Schwaz
Austria Regionalliga West
1-0 2-0 W
02/05 SC Imst
Austria Regionalliga West
0-2 0-2 L
26/04 SK Bischofshofen
Austria Regionalliga West
1-0 2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lustenau vs FC Kitzbuhel?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kitzbuhel win (39%). Probabilities: FC Lustenau 37%, draw 24%, FC Kitzbuhel 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lustenau vs FC Kitzbuhel?

The model expects 3.04 goals (FC Lustenau 1.49 · FC Kitzbuhel 1.55), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lustenau vs FC Kitzbuhel?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.