Football · Spain Segunda · 20/09, 18:30

Prediction: Las Palmas vs Burgos

Team pages: Las Palmas · Burgos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Las Palmas1.15

Burgos0.93

1X2

39% 32% 28%

Las Palmas Draw Burgos

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Las Palmas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWWLDW

Burgos 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Las Palmas 0–4–2 Burgos (6 last)

Las Palmas0-0Burgos
Burgos0-0Las Palmas
Burgos0-0Las Palmas
Las Palmas0-2Burgos
Las Palmas0-2Burgos
Burgos0-0Las Palmas

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Burgos: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Las Palmas	Burgos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.07 → 2.07	Pinn 2.07
X	2.91 → 2.91	Pinn 2.91
2	4.46 → 4.46	Pinn 4.46

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:10 +17’	2.07	2.91	4.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Las Palmas 0–4–2 Burgos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Spain Segunda	Las Palmas	0-0 HT 0-0	Burgos
07/09/25 Spain Segunda	Burgos	0-0 HT 0-0	Las Palmas
06/02/23 Spain Segunda	Burgos	0-0 HT 0-0	Las Palmas
01/11/22 Spain Segunda	Las Palmas	0-2 HT 0-0	Burgos
13/02/22 Spain Segunda	Las Palmas	0-2 HT 0-0	Burgos
20/09/21 Spain Segunda	Burgos	0-0 HT 0-0	Las Palmas

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	5	4	1	0	7	2	13
2	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	7	6	10
3	Almeria	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
4	Eibar	4	3	0	1	6	3	9
5	Burgos	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
5	Real Sociedad B	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
7	Sabadell	4	2	2	0	4	2	8
8	Leganes	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
9	Granada	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
10	Girona	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
11	Celta Fortuna	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
12	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
13	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
14	Sporting Gijon	5	2	1	2	2	3	7
15	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	1	1	5
16	Eldense	5	1	2	2	3	6	5
17	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
18	FC Andorra	5	1	0	4	8	10	3
19	Cadiz	5	0	3	2	5	7	3
20	Cordoba	5	1	0	4	7	12	3
21	Albacete	5	0	1	4	3	8	1
22	AD Ceuta FC	5	0	0	5	2	15	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Las Palmas	Burgos
AD Ceuta FC	2-0 W	3-1 W
Almeria	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Las Palmas (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Las Palmas

WDWLDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
04/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
29/08	Girona Spain Segunda	0-1	2-5	1	5	L
22/08	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
16/08	Albacete Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
10/06	Malaga Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
07/06	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
31/05	Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda	2-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/05	Real Zaragoza Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
16/05	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	2-1	5	4	W

Burgos

DDWWWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-1	3-1	1	5	W
06/09	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
31/08	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
23/08	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
16/08	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-2	3-2	1	4	W
31/05	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
24/05	Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	0	6	W
16/05	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
09/05	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	10	5	D
03/05	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Las Palmas vs Burgos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Las Palmas win (39%). Probabilities: Las Palmas 39%, draw 32%, Burgos 28%.

How many goals are expected in Las Palmas vs Burgos?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Las Palmas 1.15 · Burgos 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Las Palmas vs Burgos?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.