Football · Spain Segunda · 20/09, 16:15

Prediction: AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid

Team pages: AD Ceuta FC · Valladolid

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

AD Ceuta FC1.33

Valladolid1.13

1X2

40% 30% 30%

AD Ceuta FC Draw Valladolid

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Ceuta FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLLLL

Valladolid 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Valladolid (2 last)

AD Ceuta FC0-3Valladolid
Valladolid3-0AD Ceuta FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Valladolid: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Ceuta FC	Valladolid
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.86

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.90
X	3.35 → 3.35	Pinn 3.35
2	2.46 → 2.46	Pinn 2.46

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:10 +16’	2.90	3.35	2.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Ceuta FC 0–0–2 Valladolid

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Spain Segunda	AD Ceuta FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Valladolid
15/08/25 Spain Segunda	Valladolid	3-0 HT 2-0	AD Ceuta FC

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	5	4	1	0	7	2	13
2	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	7	6	10
3	Almeria	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
4	Eibar	4	3	0	1	6	3	9
5	Burgos	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
5	Real Sociedad B	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
7	Sabadell	4	2	2	0	4	2	8
8	Leganes	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
9	Granada	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
10	Girona	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
11	Celta Fortuna	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
12	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
13	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
14	Sporting Gijon	5	2	1	2	2	3	7
15	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	1	1	5
16	Eldense	5	1	2	2	3	6	5
17	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
18	FC Andorra	5	1	0	4	8	10	3
19	Cadiz	5	0	3	2	5	7	3
20	Cordoba	5	1	0	4	7	12	3
21	Albacete	5	0	1	4	3	8	1
22	AD Ceuta FC	5	0	0	5	2	15	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Ceuta FC	Valladolid
Mallorca	0-3 L	0-2 L
Las Palmas	0-2 L	1-2 L
FC Andorra	1-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Valladolid (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Ceuta FC

WDLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-1	1-3	7	5	L
05/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
30/08	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
22/08	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
15/08	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-1	1-5	2	4	L
30/05	Albacete Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
24/05	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	10	W
16/05	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-3	1-4	5	6	L
09/05	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
03/05	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	2-1	2-1	2	7	W

Valladolid

WLWLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
30/08	Cadiz Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
23/08	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
15/08	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
31/05	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
24/05	Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	6	7	L
16/05	Racing Santander Spain Segunda	1-1	1-4	2	2	L
09/05	Real Zaragoza Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	2	10	W
03/05	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
25/04	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Ceuta FC win (40%). Probabilities: AD Ceuta FC 40%, draw 30%, Valladolid 30%.

How many goals are expected in AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?

The model expects 2.46 goals (AD Ceuta FC 1.33 · Valladolid 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.