Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 20/09, 15:30

Prediction: TJ Kovo Belusa vs Spartak Myjava

Team pages: TJ Kovo Belusa · Spartak Myjava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

TJ Kovo Belusa1.76

Spartak Myjava1.68

1X2

39% 25% 36%

TJ Kovo Belusa Draw Spartak Myjava

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Kovo Belusa 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Spartak Myjava 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

TJ Kovo Belusa 0–3–3 Spartak Myjava (6 last)

Spartak Myjava3-1TJ Kovo Belusa
TJ Kovo Belusa2-2Spartak Myjava
Spartak Myjava1-1TJ Kovo Belusa
TJ Kovo Belusa0-0Spartak Myjava
Spartak Myjava3-1TJ Kovo Belusa
Spartak Myjava3-2TJ Kovo Belusa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Kovo Belusa 1583 · Spartak Myjava 1549

	TJ Kovo Belusa	Draw	Spartak Myjava
Our model	39%	24%	36%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Spartak Myjava: 3-3-0.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Kovo Belusa	Spartak Myjava
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.6 / 7.7	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.2	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:17 +12’	2.30	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Kovo Belusa 0–3–3 Spartak Myjava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spartak Myjava	3-1 HT 0-0	TJ Kovo Belusa
28/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	2-2 HT 1-1	Spartak Myjava
14/05/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spartak Myjava	1-1 HT 0-0	TJ Kovo Belusa
03/11/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	0-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Myjava
15/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Spartak Myjava	3-1 HT 1-1	TJ Kovo Belusa
24/01/23 Europe Friendlies	Spartak Myjava	3-2 HT 1-1	TJ Kovo Belusa

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	6	5	1	0	17	4	16
2	TJ Kovo Belusa	6	4	1	1	17	9	13
3	FK Nove Zamky	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
4	Puchov	6	3	2	1	10	3	11
5	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	6	3	1	2	9	8	10
6	OFK Dunajska Luzna	6	2	3	1	8	7	9
7	FC Banik Prievidza	6	3	0	3	10	11	9
8	Spartak Myjava	6	2	2	2	10	11	8
9	KFC Komarno B	6	2	2	2	7	12	8
10	AS Trencin B	6	2	1	3	8	11	7
11	Dunajska Streda B	6	2	0	4	13	13	6
12	MSK Senec	6	2	0	4	7	11	6
13	OK Castkovce	6	1	2	3	13	15	5
14	Raca Bratislava	6	1	2	3	10	13	5
15	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	6	1	2	3	7	15	5
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	6	1	1	4	8	13	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Kovo Belusa	Spartak Myjava
Puchov	0-2 L	2-2 D
OFK Dunajska Luzna	2-2 D	3-1 W
KFC Komarno B	5-0 W	0-0 D
Dunajska Streda B	3-2 W	1-1 D
AS Trencin B	1-0 W	2-0 W
OK Castkovce	4-1 W	0-0 D
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 5 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Kovo Belusa (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Kovo Belusa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
06/09	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	6	D
30/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	9	3	W
23/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	4	W
15/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
09/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	13	8	W
06/06	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
24/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	3	7	L

Spartak Myjava

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
05/09	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
28/08	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
23/08	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
15/08	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
07/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	5	4	W
06/06	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
22/05	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	5-3	10	2	W
16/05	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Spartak Myjava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Kovo Belusa win (39%). Probabilities: TJ Kovo Belusa 39%, draw 25%, Spartak Myjava 36%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Spartak Myjava?

The model expects 3.44 goals (TJ Kovo Belusa 1.76 · Spartak Myjava 1.68), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Kovo Belusa vs Spartak Myjava?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.