Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 13/09, 16:00

Prediction: OK Castkovce vs Raca Bratislava

Team pages: OK Castkovce · Raca Bratislava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

OK Castkovce2.02

Raca Bratislava1.26

1X2

54% 23% 23%

OK Castkovce Draw Raca Bratislava

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

OK Castkovce 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLWD

Raca Bratislava 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDLLLW

Head-to-head

OK Castkovce 2–4–0 Raca Bratislava (6 last)

Raca Bratislava3-3OK Castkovce
OK Castkovce1-1Raca Bratislava
OK Castkovce3-1Raca Bratislava
Raca Bratislava0-0OK Castkovce
OK Castkovce3-0Raca Bratislava
Raca Bratislava1-1OK Castkovce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OK Castkovce 1436 · Raca Bratislava 1523

	OK Castkovce	Draw	Raca Bratislava
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	54%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raca Bratislava (rating 1436 vs 1523).
H2H favours OK Castkovce: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OK Castkovce	Raca Bratislava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	2.2 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	4.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:55 +7’	1.65	3.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OK Castkovce 2–4–0 Raca Bratislava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	3-3 HT 1-3	OK Castkovce
27/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	1-1 HT 0-0	Raca Bratislava
17/05/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	3-1 HT 1-0	Raca Bratislava
10/11/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	0-0 HT 0-0	OK Castkovce
09/03/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	OK Castkovce	3-0 HT 0-0	Raca Bratislava
13/08/23 Slovakia 3. Liga	Raca Bratislava	1-1 HT 0-0	OK Castkovce

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	5	4	1	0	15	3	13
2	TJ Kovo Belusa	5	4	1	0	17	7	13
3	FK Nove Zamky	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
4	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	5	3	0	2	8	7	9
5	Spartak Myjava	6	2	2	2	10	11	8
6	Puchov	5	2	2	1	8	3	8
7	OFK Dunajska Luzna	5	2	2	1	7	6	8
8	AS Trencin B	6	2	1	3	8	11	7
9	Dunajska Streda B	5	2	0	3	12	11	6
10	FC Banik Prievidza	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
11	MSK Senec	5	2	0	3	6	9	6
12	KFC Komarno B	5	1	2	2	5	11	5
13	OK Castkovce	5	1	1	3	10	12	4
14	Slovan Duslo Šala	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
15	Raca Bratislava	5	1	1	3	7	10	4
16	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	5	0	2	3	4	14	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OK Castkovce	Raca Bratislava
Dunajska Streda B	3-1 W	5-0 W
FC Banik Prievidza	2-4 L	1-1 D
MSK Senec	2-3 L	1-0 W
TJ Kovo Belusa	1-4 L	2-4 L
FK Nove Zamky	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Raca Bratislava (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OK Castkovce

LDLLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
29/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
22/08	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	4	2	L
07/08	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	2	6	L
06/06	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
30/05	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
23/05	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	5	L

Raca Bratislava

DWDWDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	10	W
30/08	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
23/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
16/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
08/08	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	11	D
06/06	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	3	D
30/05	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
24/05	FC Petrzalka B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
17/05	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
10/05	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	15	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OK Castkovce vs Raca Bratislava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OK Castkovce win (54%). Probabilities: OK Castkovce 54%, draw 23%, Raca Bratislava 23%.

How many goals are expected in OK Castkovce vs Raca Bratislava?

The model expects 3.28 goals (OK Castkovce 2.02 · Raca Bratislava 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in OK Castkovce vs Raca Bratislava?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.