Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 28/08, 14:30
Prediction: Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon Kyiv
Team pages: Kolos Kovalivka · Obolon Kyiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Kolos Kovalivka1.36
Obolon Kyiv0.65
1X2
Kolos Kovalivka
Draw
Obolon Kyiv
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Kolos Kovalivka
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Obolon Kyiv
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kolos Kovalivka
0–5–1
Obolon Kyiv
(6 last)
- Kolos Kovalivka0-2Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv0-0Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka0-0Obolon Kyiv
- Kolos Kovalivka0-0Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv2-2Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka0-0Obolon Kyiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kolos Kovalivka 1527 · Obolon Kyiv 1459
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 31% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kolos Kovalivka (rating 1527 vs 1459).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kolos Kovalivka | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.6 / 3.2 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolos Kovalivka 0–5–1 Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 28/11/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 08/12/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 21/08/24 Ukraine Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 04/08/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 02/12/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | LNZ Lebedyn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Obolon Kyiv | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | FC Kudrivka | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FC Veres Rivne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Odessa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kolos Kovalivka | Obolon Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Kudrivka | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| SC Poltava | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| LNZ Lebedyn | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kolos Kovalivka (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kolos Kovalivka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 10/04 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kolos Kovalivka win (54%). Probabilities: Kolos Kovalivka 54%, draw 29%, Obolon Kyiv 17%.
How many goals are expected in Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model expects 2 goals (Kolos Kovalivka 1.36 · Obolon Kyiv 0.65), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.