Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 29/08, 17:00
Prediction: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr
Team pages: Shakhtar Donetsk · Polissya Zhytomyr
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Shakhtar Donetsk1.75
Polissya Zhytomyr0.71
1X2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Draw
Polissya Zhytomyr
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Shakhtar Donetsk
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Polissya Zhytomyr
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shakhtar Donetsk
1–2–3
Polissya Zhytomyr
(6 last)
- Shakhtar Donetsk1-0Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr0-0Shakhtar Donetsk
- Polissya Zhytomyr0-0Shakhtar Donetsk
- Polissya Zhytomyr1-0Shakhtar Donetsk
- Shakhtar Donetsk0-1Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr2-0Shakhtar Donetsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shakhtar Donetsk (rating 1621 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Polissya Zhytomyr: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Polissya Zhytomyr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 3.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shakhtar Donetsk 1–2–3 Polissya Zhytomyr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 18/10/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 23/04/25 Ukraine Cup | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 15/12/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 11/08/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 25/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | LNZ Lebedyn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Obolon Kyiv | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | FC Kudrivka | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FC Veres Rivne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Odessa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shakhtar Donetsk | Polissya Zhytomyr |
|---|---|---|
| FC Kharkiv | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Obolon Kyiv | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Zorya Lugansk | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shakhtar Donetsk (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shakhtar Donetsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/04 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Polissya Zhytomyr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shakhtar Donetsk win (61%). Probabilities: Shakhtar Donetsk 61%, draw 25%, Polissya Zhytomyr 14%.
How many goals are expected in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Shakhtar Donetsk 1.75 · Polissya Zhytomyr 0.71), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.