Prediction: SC Chabab Mohammedia vs KAC Kenitra
Expected goals: 1.91 (SC Chabab Mohammedia 1.06 · KAC Kenitra 0.85). The model gives 39% home, 33% draw, 28% away. Over 1.75 goals (52%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves SC Chabab Mohammedia with 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; KAC Kenitra has piled up 4-4-2 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, SC Chabab Mohammedia won 2 and KAC Kenitra 0, with 1 draw.
| SC Chabab Mohammedia | Draw | KAC Kenitra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 34% | 27% |
| Market | 39% | 33% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KAC Kenitra (rating 1440 vs 1503).
- H2H favours SC Chabab Mohammedia: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Chabab Mohammedia | KAC Kenitra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Chabab Mohammedia 2–1–0 KAC Kenitra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Morocco GNF 2 | KAC Kenitra | 0-1 HT 0-0 | SC Chabab Mohammedia |
| 01/03/20 Morocco GNF 2 | SC Chabab Mohammedia | 1-0 | KAC Kenitra |
| 27/10/19 Morocco GNF 2 | KAC Kenitra | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SC Chabab Mohammedia |
Standings · Morocco GNF 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Widad Temara | 29 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 35 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | MAT Tetouan | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | US Amal Tiznit | 29 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 43 |
| 5 | JS Massira | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 26 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 41 |
| 7 | JS Soualem | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 34 | 41 |
| 8 | WAF Widad Fes | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 37 |
| 9 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 36 |
| 10 | KAC Kenitra | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 11 | Mouloudia Oujda | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 37 | 36 |
| 12 | USM Oujda | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SC Chabab Mohammedia | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 32 |
| 15 | Raja Beni Mellal | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 30 |
| 16 | Racing de Casablanca | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 39 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Chabab Mohammedia | KAC Kenitra |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Widad Temara | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| JS Soualem | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Mouloudia Oujda | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| JS Massira | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Union Sportive Boujaad | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| MAT Tetouan | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: KAC Kenitra (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Chabab Mohammedia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
KAC Kenitra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco Cup |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Chabab Mohammedia vs KAC Kenitra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Chabab Mohammedia win (39%). Probabilities: SC Chabab Mohammedia 39%, draw 33%, KAC Kenitra 28%.
How many goals are expected in SC Chabab Mohammedia vs KAC Kenitra?
The model expects 1.91 goals (SC Chabab Mohammedia 1.06 · KAC Kenitra 0.85), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Chabab Mohammedia vs KAC Kenitra?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.