Prediction: Widad Temara vs USM Oujda
Expected goals: 2.1 (Widad Temara 1.34 · USM Oujda 0.76). The model gives 49% home, 30% draw, 20% away. Under 2.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Widad Temara sits at 5-5-0 (W-D-L), while USM Oujda arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Widad Temara won 0 and USM Oujda 1, with 3 draws.
| Widad Temara | Draw | USM Oujda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Widad Temara (rating 1560 vs 1478).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Widad Temara | USM Oujda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/75/0% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Widad Temara 0–3–1 USM Oujda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Morocco GNF 2 | USM Oujda | 0-0 | Widad Temara |
| 20/05/23 Morocco GNF 2 | Widad Temara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | USM Oujda |
| 19/11/22 Morocco GNF 2 | USM Oujda | 1-0 | Widad Temara |
| 18/02/18 Morocco GNF 2 | Widad Temara | 1-1 HT 0-1 | USM Oujda |
Standings · Morocco GNF 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Widad Temara | 29 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 35 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | MAT Tetouan | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | US Amal Tiznit | 29 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 43 |
| 5 | JS Massira | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 26 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 41 |
| 7 | JS Soualem | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 34 | 41 |
| 8 | WAF Widad Fes | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 37 |
| 9 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 36 |
| 10 | KAC Kenitra | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 11 | Mouloudia Oujda | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 37 | 36 |
| 12 | USM Oujda | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SC Chabab Mohammedia | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 32 |
| 15 | Raja Beni Mellal | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 30 |
| 16 | Racing de Casablanca | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 39 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Widad Temara | USM Oujda |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| US Amal Tiznit | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| JS Soualem | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Mouloudia Oujda | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Union Sportive Boujaad | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Widad Temara (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Widad Temara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 25/04 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
USM Oujda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Widad Temara vs USM Oujda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Widad Temara win (49%). Probabilities: Widad Temara 49%, draw 30%, USM Oujda 20%.
How many goals are expected in Widad Temara vs USM Oujda?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Widad Temara 1.34 · USM Oujda 0.76), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Widad Temara vs USM Oujda?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.