Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 05/07, 17:00

Prediction: Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs US Amal Tiznit

Expected goals: 1.84 (Chabab Atlas Khénifra 1.06 · US Amal Tiznit 0.79). The model gives 40% home, 34% draw, 26% away. Under 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Chabab Atlas Khénifra sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while US Amal Tiznit arrives on a 2-5-3 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Chabab Atlas Khénifra and 0 for US Amal Tiznit, with 1 draw.

40%1
40% 34% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chabab Atlas Khénifra 1533 · US Amal Tiznit 1479
Chabab Atlas KhénifraDrawUS Amal Tiznit
Our model40%35%25%
Market41%33%26%
Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.84Chabab Atlas Khénifra 1.06 · US Amal Tiznit 0.79
Over / Under 1.75Under 1.75 · 51%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chabab Atlas Khénifra (rating 1533 vs 1479).
  • Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chabab Atlas KhénifraUS Amal Tiznit
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.71 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/33/11%0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 31.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.25 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chabab Atlas Khénifra 010 US Amal Tiznit

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
Morocco GNF 2
US Amal Tiznit0-0
HT 0-0
Chabab Atlas Khénifra

Standings · Morocco GNF 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Widad Temara 2913142 352553
2 MAT Tetouan 2913115 322250
3 Chabab Atlas Khénifra 2911117 262044
4 US Amal Tiznit 299164 342643
5 JS Massira 2910118 262041
6 Stade Marocain Du Rabat 2911810 232241
7 JS Soualem 2910118 363441
8 WAF Widad Fes 2991010 332937
9 Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 298129 242736
10 KAC Kenitra 298129 323236
11 Mouloudia Oujda 298129 343736
12 USM Oujda 2981011 283034
13 SC Chabab Mohammedia 298912 213433
14 Union Sportive Boujaad 296149 212132
15 Raja Beni Mellal 2961211 212930
16 Racing de Casablanca 293917 213918

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChabab Atlas KhénifraUS Amal Tiznit
Widad Temara 1-1 D 1-1 D
JS Soualem 1-0 W 2-1 W
Mouloudia Oujda 4-0 W 1-1 D
MAT Tetouan 1-2 L 1-3 L
Union Sportive Boujaad 2-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chabab Atlas Khénifra (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chabab Atlas Khénifra

WLWWLDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 USM Oujda
Morocco GNF 2
0-0 1-1 16 D
20/06 KAC Kenitra
Morocco GNF 2
1-0 2-1 38 W
13/06 Raja Beni Mellal
Morocco GNF 2
0-0 0-0 17 D
07/06 SC Chabab Mohammedia
Morocco GNF 2
1-0 1-0 47 W
24/05 Widad Temara
Morocco GNF 2
0-0 1-1 45 D
17/05 CODM Meknes
Morocco Cup
0-1 0-2 26 L
09/05 JS Soualem
Morocco GNF 2
1-0 1-0 66 W
02/05 Mouloudia Oujda
Morocco GNF 2
1-0 4-0 37 W
26/04 MAT Tetouan
Morocco GNF 2
1-2 L
04/04 Union Sportive Boujaad
Morocco GNF 2
1-0 2-0 34 W

US Amal Tiznit

WLDDLDDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Mouloudia Oujda
Morocco GNF 2
1-1 1-1 95 D
20/06 MAT Tetouan
Morocco GNF 2
1-3 L
14/06 JS Soualem
Morocco GNF 2
2-1 W
07/06 JS Massira
Morocco GNF 2
1-1 D
24/05 Union Sportive Boujaad
Morocco GNF 2
0-0 D
17/05 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco Cup
0-2 0-3 23 L
10/05 Widad Temara
Morocco GNF 2
0-0 1-1 25 D
03/05 Racing de Casablanca
Morocco GNF 2
2-2 D
25/04 Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
Morocco GNF 2
0-0 0-1 39 L
05/04 WAF Widad Fes
Morocco GNF 2
2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs US Amal Tiznit?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chabab Atlas Khénifra win (40%). Probabilities: Chabab Atlas Khénifra 40%, draw 34%, US Amal Tiznit 26%.

How many goals are expected in Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs US Amal Tiznit?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Chabab Atlas Khénifra 1.06 · US Amal Tiznit 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs US Amal Tiznit?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.