Prediction: Union Sportive Boujaad vs Racing de Casablanca
Expected goals: 2.15 (Union Sportive Boujaad 1.56 · Racing de Casablanca 0.59). The model gives 60% home, 27% draw, 13% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Union Sportive Boujaad sits at 1-5-4 (W-D-L), while Racing de Casablanca arrives on a 1-2-7 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Union Sportive Boujaad and 0 for Racing de Casablanca.
| Union Sportive Boujaad | Draw | Racing de Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Market | 60% | 28% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Sportive Boujaad (rating 1478 vs 1413).
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Sportive Boujaad | Racing de Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/33/50% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.7 | 2.5 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Sportive Boujaad 1–0–0 Racing de Casablanca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Morocco GNF 2 | Racing de Casablanca | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Union Sportive Boujaad |
Standings · Morocco GNF 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Widad Temara | 29 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 35 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | MAT Tetouan | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | US Amal Tiznit | 29 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 43 |
| 5 | JS Massira | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 26 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 41 |
| 7 | JS Soualem | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 34 | 41 |
| 8 | WAF Widad Fes | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 37 |
| 9 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 36 |
| 10 | KAC Kenitra | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 36 |
| 11 | Mouloudia Oujda | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 37 | 36 |
| 12 | USM Oujda | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SC Chabab Mohammedia | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 32 |
| 15 | Raja Beni Mellal | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 30 |
| 16 | Racing de Casablanca | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 39 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Sportive Boujaad | Racing de Casablanca |
|---|---|---|
| Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| WAF Widad Fes | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| USM Oujda | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| US Amal Tiznit | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Raja Beni Mellal | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| KAC Kenitra | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| SC Chabab Mohammedia | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Sportive Boujaad (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Sportive Boujaad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Racing de Casablanca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/04 | Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Sportive Boujaad vs Racing de Casablanca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Sportive Boujaad win (60%). Probabilities: Union Sportive Boujaad 60%, draw 27%, Racing de Casablanca 13%.
How many goals are expected in Union Sportive Boujaad vs Racing de Casablanca?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Union Sportive Boujaad 1.56 · Racing de Casablanca 0.59), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Sportive Boujaad vs Racing de Casablanca?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.